WEATHER SUMMARY AND FORECAST DETAILS
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FROM MEDFORD NWS 11/20
Radar imagery shows isolated showers along the coast and coastal counties (Curry and Coos) and portions of Josephine County. The showers are slowly moving east. Guidance is in pretty good agreement with showers gradually diminishing late this morning into this afternoon as the upper low moves south into northern California. Tonight will be dry with cloud cover generally dissipating as a drier air mass moves in. However the stable conditions could result in low clouds and fog for the interior westside valleys and portions of the valleys east of the Cascades. Dry weather will continue through Saturday with low clouds and fog possible again later Friday night into Saturday for same areas as where were expecting tonight.
Yesterday, there was some indications Sunday afternoon could be a bit of a grey area with respect to the next incoming front, and thus precipitation chances. The operational models and several more of the individual ensemble members suggest precipitation could move into the northwest part of the forecast area and the coast Sunday afternoon, then inland Sunday evening. If nothing else, this front will be more of a garden variety type with not much in the way of precipitation amounts and the front is still showing signs of weakening as it moves into our area. Therefore most of the precipitation could be from Sunday afternoon into Monday morning with drying expected Monday afternoon.
Of importance will be the holiday travel time next Wednesday. There`s evidence pointing towards more active weather, but snow levels will be higher and could be confined to the higher terrain. We`ll wait for the latest suite of model data (operational and ensemble members) to see if they are still leaning in this direction for Sunday into Wednesday of next week.
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