WEATHER SUMMARY AND FORECAST DETAILS
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This is going to be a two parter. You will see what Medford NWS has to say. And then, I am going to tell you what said in plain language. Because this has a lot of meteorologist speak in it.
FROM MEDFORD NWS 5/6
"Limited impacts the next several days
- Most notable will be the well above normal temperatures
- Some areas 10-15+ degree above normal
Drying trend starts today
- No signal for precipitation in the forecast at this time
A ridge of high pressure will build in over the region today as a long wave trough consumes much of the central and eastern CONUS. Overall, this ridge will be the dominated upper level pattern for the region through much of the forecast with one caveat Friday. There will be a weak shortwave entering the PacNW on Friday, but this is very progressive in the eastward progression and will likely only result in cooler temperatures for our area. Friday is the overall "coolest" day in the forecast, but we are still forecasting above normal temperatures on this day.
There is a signal in the extended forecast for this ridge to essentially remain in place through middle parts of May. This could result in continued above normal temperatures and dry conditions which may result in an accelerated period of drying for fuels. Through May, the Climate Prediction Center is indicating a strong signal for above normal temperatures, and a weak signal for below normal precipitation chances. In fact, there is a signal for this
trend to continue May-June-July with El Nino chances likely (61% chance) to emerge through this period, and persist through at least the end of 2026."
What this is saying is that above average temps and drier than normal conditions look to be continuing on through May. And, it is looking like that is going to continue through the end of July as it stands right now. This is not unexpected news at all. I have been saying this was looking to be the case. This is confirmation on that.
