LONG RANGE FORECAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF FEBRUARY - 2/1/2019
February is an interesting month for Medford. While on average temps get back into the 50s for highs, February has seen some of the bigger snowstorms come into the valley in the past. Normally in Medford highs are in the 50s. 54 is the average high. You can expect to see the 50s pretty wide spread inland west of the Cascades. At the coast 50s into the 60s is pretty typical. East of the Cascades it would be 30s moving into the 40s for average highs.
Precipitation in February is normally 2 inches in Medford. It would be 4 - 6 inches on the Coast. The mountains will typically see about 18 - 24 inches of snow. East of the Cascades right around a half to three quarters of an inch would be typical.
For this February we are expecting to see below average temperatures and near normal precipitation. That was the expectation anyway. We are indeed going to be colder than average in the beginning of the month. It is looking like we will be running about 10 degrees below normal for highs across the entire area. So where Medford and Roseburg would typically see right around 50 to the low 50s, we will be more likely to be around 40. East of the Cascades we will be seeing 20s into the 30s. Overnight temps will also be below average especially when we get any kind of clearing happening.
As for expected precipitation, the NOAA Climatology Center had predicted the beginning of the month to be dry. But, with two very robust storms coming back to back, it is not looking like we will be below average for precipitation. It looks much more like we could be above average. That would keep the surplus trend going that started in January. And that would be most welcome. Snowfall for the mountains will be above average. We are expecting to see as much snow by Monday the 4th as we would typically see for all of February. More good news. However, thanks to the very low snow levels we will see especially on the 3rd through the 5th, the snow is not going to have a lot of water content to it. But, dry fluffy snow is still much better than no snow at all. We'll take it. Besides, the data says we will be seeing more snow arriving during the month. Obviously great news for our ski areas and for other winter recreation areas.