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LONG RANGE FORECAST OUTLOOKS 6/22/2026

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6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK

This covers the time period of the 28th to July 2nd. Going to see below average temps, and above average precipitation. But, this does NOT last!

No photo description available.

8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK

This covers the time period of the 30th of June to the 6th of July. Temps are going to be near normal....and precipitation will be near normal. At this time of the year, that's not much.

May be an image of map and text that says '8-14 Day Temperature Outlook 2026 2026 Issued: June Neas Normal Above 8-14 Day Precipitation Outlook - 2026 Issued: June 22, 2. 2026 Near Normai Alure Above Below Below P Above Aeanitets Belr Near Normal Above Above Probabiliny ABOИ ်မပ် Niear -700 0000% Atowe Nogirial Above Probablity (ercent Noar 50%'

3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK

This is covers the time period of the 4th of July to the 17th. Above to much above average temps, and precipitation will be near normal. Again, at this time of the year...that's not much. July is the driest mobth of the year on average in Oregon.

May be an image of map and text that says 'Week 3-4 Temperature Outlook 4-17 -17 Issued:June19,2026 2026 Issued: June 19 9.2 2026 Ahoe Below Week 3-4 Precipitation Outlook y4- 2026 Issued: June 19. Issued:June19,2026 2026 Equal Chances Equal Chances Above Chances Above Aboma Above AOV MoHR Chances PerconeChenee Probablity Alove TH aйи PC Probablity Cas'

JULYU MONTHLY FORECAST

July is going to be hot, and could be dry. But, should the Monsoon moisture we see in the Southwest shift this way.....there could be heavy rain producing thunderstorms.

May be a graphic of map and text that says 'Monthly Temperature Outlook y2026 Issued: June 18, 2026 ABUeD Below Equal Chancek Monthly Precipitation Outlook 2026 Issued: June 2026 Below Shore Above Egual Chances Above Above Eσύα Chances PecenChancel Probaiany Above Below -a S AbovE Chances Peutabaty'

LONG RANGE FORECASTS

First up is the 90 day forecast from Oregon Department of Forestry Meteorologist Pete Parsons. Pete is a very good longer range forecaster. He is basing his forecasts on what has happened with years where we had similar climatic conditions. He has found that 1963, 1997, and 2002 had conditions much like we see now. Many times the solution to forecasting the future is to look at the past and similar conditions. Pete does this. Pete has a lot of information in his three month outlook. Click on the second image below to read Pete's report. As you are going to see, Pete and NOAA Climatology are not on the same page at all. One of them is going to be proven right.

May be an image of text that says 'Forecast Highlights This forecast is based on the 1963, 1997, & 2002 analog years. were no changes to the analog years from last month's forecast. There Above-average temperatures & mostly near-average precipitation are indicated for the 3-month period. The analogs all had some periods with quite-warm temperatures. 1963 & 1997 were generally wetter than 2002. Large differences in upper-air patterns, and subsequent resultant surface weather, among the analog years lowers forecast confidence. The 2002 analog year was hottest in August, while 1963 & 1997 both had quite warm days in September.'

Here is what NOAA is forecasting for July through September. As I said, they are the opposite of what Pete said. Pete is predicting much cooler temps. Who is going to be right? We will see

May be an image of map and text that says 'Seasonal Temperature Outlook Jul-Aug- Issued: June 18, 2026 Abave Chances ABye Below Seasonal Precipitation Outlook Jul-Aug- 2026 Issued: June 8. Yue12026 2026 Below Below Above Equal Chances Equal Chances Prtaisny tesCase Below Above 140 Equal Chances PeoChNees Protubaity 500% Spw MET .'

NOAA Climatology also has this as the drought expectation. Coming out of the winter we did not have......this is not a surprise.

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