Your Information Now
USE THE CATEGORIES IN THE BLACK BAR ABOVE, OR YOUR MENU ICON OF YOUR DEVICE TO NAVIGATE THE SITE TO FIND THE INFORMATION YOU ARE LOOKING FOR.
ROGUEWEATHER IS PRESENTED BY:
LONG RANGE FORECAST OUTLOOKS 8/8/2026
Presented by:
The Long Range Forecasts and outlooks are brought to you by First Strike Environmental. Providing emergency response and management of hazadous materials incidents and also response for wildland fire fighting, First Strike is the first call of many state and federal agencies. They are a Southern Oregon family owned company in Roseburg. Proud to support Rogueweather.com.
6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK
This covers the time period of the August 14th to the 18th. Going to see above average temps in Oregon. But, average in northern California. But, look at the expected chance to see precipitation! This would be a huge help with the fires we have now. But, I am sure we are going to see thunderstorm activity. That means more lightning with more fire starts.
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
This covers the time period of the 16th to the 22nd. Temps are still above average in Oregon. And, we do still have higher chances to see precipitation. But, that just extends the potential to see lightning.....and we all know what that means.
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK
This is covers the time period of the 22nd of August to the 4th of September. Temps are going to be well above average. So August ends hot and September is going to start that way. Precipitation chances decreas over everything but eastern Siskiyou, and Modoc Counties in northern California. And, what you see in the Western US is a very clear Monsoon signal. And, with Monsoon activity, it could shift further west by the time we get to that time frame. This is going to be something to watch in the weeks ahead.
AUGUST MONTHLY FORECAST
August is going to be hot, and could be dry. But, being dry in August is pretty typical. Even if we do see average to near average precipitation....that's not much at all.
LONG RANGE FORECASTS
First up is the 90 day forecast from Oregon Department of Forestry Meteorologist Pete Parsons. Pete is a very good longer range forecaster. He is basing his forecasts on what has happened with years where we had similar climatic conditions. He has found that 1957, 1982, and 1997 had conditions much like we see now. Many times the solution to forecasting the future is to look at the past and similar conditions. Pete does this. Pete has a lot of information in his three month outlook. Click on the second image below to read Pete's report. As you are going to see, Pete and NOAA Climatology are not on the same page at all. One of them is going to be proven right.
Here is what NOAA is forecasting for August through Octoberber. As I said, they are the opposite of what Pete said. Pete is predicting much cooler temps, and a lot more moisture. Who is going to be right? We will see
NOAA Climatology also has this as the drought expectation. Coming out of the winter we did not have......this is not a surprise.
