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LONG RANGE FORECAST OUTLOOKS 9/21/2025
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6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK
This covers the time period of September 27th to October 1st. Well above average temps expected, And, above average chances to see precipitation. NOAA is saying this will be the beginning of our wet season. If that is true, then fire season could be ending well before it typically would.
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
This covers the time period of September 29th to October 5th. More above average temps expected, And, more above average chances to see precipitation.
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK
This is covers the time period of the 4th to 17th of October. The temps are still going to be above average. It looks like we will be seasonally average to see precipitation. That is what white means in these images.
OCTOBER OUTLOOK
Here is what NOAA/ National Weather Service is forecasting for October. NOAA is going above average for temps and average on precip in our forecast area. The above average precipitation looks like it stays north of our forecast area. But, Lane and Linn Counties could wind up in that above average area.
LONG RANGE FORECASTS
First up is the 90 day forecast from Oregon Department of Forestry Meteorologist Pete Parsons. Pete is a very good longer range forecaster. He is basing his forecasts on what has happened with years where we had similar climatic conditions. He has found that 1967, 1981, and 2017 had conditions much like we see now. It was the winter of 2016 - 2017 that produced that epic snowbomb event over Southern Oregon. Many times the solution to forecasting the future is to look at the past and similar conditions. Pete does this. Pete has a lot of information in his three month outlook. Click on the second image below to read Pete's report.
Here is what NOAA/ National Weather Service is forecasting for October through December. NOAA is going above average for temps and average on precip in our forecast area. As I said in the October monthly outlook.....the above average precipitation looks like it stays north of our forecast area. But, Lane and Linn Counties could wind up in that above average area.
