FORECAST FOR 11/21/2014
Areas of fog this morning, with rain developing along with strong gusty winds. Chance for a thunderstorm as well. Winds could reach 70 miles an hour at the Coast and in the mountains, 80 miles an hour east of the Cascades, and 55 miles an hour in the Shasta Valley in Northern California. Expect breezy to gusty conditions elsewhere with winds approaching 40 miles an hour at times. Rainfall could be heavy at times especially in thunderstorms that may form. Snow levels will be near 8000 feet through tonight. Highs will be in the low 50s for the valleys, and in the 40s for the mountains and east of the Cascades. Overnight lows will be in the mid 40s for the valleys, and in the 30s to near 40 for the mountains and east of the Cascades.
HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TODAY TO I AM SATURDAY FOR THE SOUTHERN OREGON COAST.
The National Weather Service office in Medford, Oregon has issued a High Wind Warning for the Southern Oregon Coastal areas. Winds will be sustained from the south at 40 - 45 miles an hour with gusts to 70 miles an hour especially on the Coastal headlands. Travel on Highway 101 will be severely impacted with strong gusty winds creating hazardous to dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Winds could also blow down trees onto the highway creating hazards or blockages and closures.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM SATURDAY FOR THE SOUTHERN OREGON COASTAL AREAS FROM FLORENCE, OREGON TO PT. ST. GEORGE, CALIFORNIA
The National Weather Service office in Medford, Oregon has issued a Coastal Flood Advisory for the above areas due to the expected development of over running water into beachfront areas due top both wind driven and breaker action. Breakers will build to 30 feet and winds to 70 knots will drive water into shoreline areas especially during high tides creating possible flooding. Low lying areas should be avoided during the advisory time frame. If you have property in low areas along beaches and shorelines, be prepared for flooding.
The port of Port Orford may be most impacted from this situation due to it's exposure. Other areas along the coast and Highway 101 may be impacted by sea water flooding during this time.
HIGH SURF WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TODAY TO 1 AM SATURDAY FROM FLORENCE, OREGON TO PT. ST. GEORGE, CALIFORNIA FOR SOUTH FACING BEACHES AND SHORELINES
The National Weather Service office in Medford, Oregon has issued a High Surf Warning due to expected heavy seas breaking on beaches, jetties, and shorelines. Breakers may be as high as 30 feet. Significant run ups well above high water lines can be expected. Flooding will be likely to occur from breakers during high tide periods. THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION WITH A HIGH LIFE SAFETY RISK! AVOID EXPOSED BEACHES, JETTIES, AND SHORELINES during this time frame as these waves will hit with deadly force, and then create rip currents and undertows pulling you out to sea if you are caught in the water. Surviving this would be extremely unlikely.
HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM SATURDAY FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN, AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, AND ALL OF LAKE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN OREGON, AND ALL OF MODOC COUNTY IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
The National Weather Service office in Medford, Oregon has issued a High Wind Warning for the above areas for strong southwest winds sustained at 40 - 45 miles an hour with gusts to 80 miles an hour at times. Travel on highways in the area will be severely impacted with strong gusty winds creating hazardous to dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Winds could also blow down trees onto the highway creating hazards or blockages and closures.
Locations in the warning area include......Highway 31 between Paisley and Summer Lake. Summer Lake, and the rim country around Summer Lake. Chemult and Crescent.
WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TODAY TO 4 AM SATURDAY FOR THE SHASTA VALLEY IN CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
The National Weather Service office in Medford, Oregon has issued a Wind Advisory for the above areas due to the expected development of winds sustained from the southwest at 25 - 35 miles an hour, with gusts of 45 - 55 miles an hour. Travel on highways in the area, especially Interstate 5, will be severely impacted with strong gusty winds creating hazardous to dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Winds could also blow down trees onto the highway creating hazards or blockages and closures.
Locations in the advisory area include.....Weed, Lake Shastina, Gazell, Montague, and Yreka.
WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TONIGHT TO 1 PM SATURDAY FOR NORTHERN, AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY, AND ALL OF LAKE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN OREGON, AND ALL OF MODOC COUNTY IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA FOR THE LOWER ELEVATION AREAS
The National Weather Service office in Medford, Oregon has issued a Wind Advisory for the above areas due to the expected development of winds sustained from the southwest at 30 - 40 miles an hour, with gusts to 55 miles an hour. Travel on highways in the area will be severely impacted with strong gusty winds creating hazardous to dangerous driving conditions for high profile vehicles. Winds could also blow down trees onto the highway creating hazards or blockages and closures.
Locations in the advisory area include......Lakeview, Paisley, Sprague River, Bly, Adel, Alturas, Canby, and Cedar Pass.
WEATHER SUMMARY DISCUSSION:
As you can see from the LONG list of warnings, and advisories, we have a major winter storm about to hit the West Coast. The effects of this will be felt pretty much everywhere from California to Canada. For our area the biggest impacts are going to be wind and rain related. This morning we do have areas of fog that have formed in the valleys west of the Cascades, and also in the Siskiyous. The fog will be dissipating as the air mass becomes very active with wind pushing in. Look for strong winds to arrive at the Coast first and then spread rapidly inland. The highest winds will be east of the Cascades later today into tonight where gusts to 80 miles an hour will be possible. At the Coast and in the mountains, winds will reach 70 miles an hour. The Shasta Valley could see gusts to 55 miles an hour. Everybody should see some winds today and in the valleys those winds could reach 40 miles an hour at times. This ought to really bring down the remaining leaves on the trees.
And then comes the rains. Heavy rain will arrive over most of the area, and in some areas we could see very heavy rain in a short period of time. Once such area is Western Siskiyou County in Northern California. It is expected they could see 1 - 2 inches of rain over a six hour period from this evening through late tonight. For that reason a flash flood watch has been issued. In addition with the burn scars from this summer's wildfires, there is a higher probability of flash flooding, and also the possibility of mud slides, rock slides, and debris flows out of the burn areas. Residents in that area will want to keep a watchful eye on what is going on as the flooding, the slides, and debris flows can develop with little warning. Elsewhere, the heavy rain in concert with the fallen leaves may create areas of flooding as storm drains become clogged. Water ponding on roadways will create a hazard for travelers so be aware of the conditions and drive with care.
The data this morning has also given us the chance for thunderstorms across the area for later this afternoon through tonight as the strongest dynamics arrive. There will be increased instability and also good lift from the mountains, so a few storms are likely to get going. If storms form, they could produce heavy downpours with them. Gusty winds would also be possible. Higher up in the mountains they might also produce hail.
I have not talked about snow at all yet. This is due to the fact that the snow levels will be at 8000 feet or higher through Saturday morning. This means no impact at all from snow and ice. But, on Saturday a cold front is going to arrive and snow levels will drop. It looks like they will reach 4000 feet by Saturday evening for the Cascades. It is expected that up to 5 inches of snow will accumulate at pass levels by Sunday morning. This will obviously be more than enough to cause travel issues. For the Siskiyous there is still no certainty of problems for I 5. If snow does develop there, it will likely be around 2 inches of accumulation. That would be enough to cause some slick driving conditions, but likely not enough to cause any major problems. The Cascades will be seeing the higher snow totals with up to 10 inches possible at the very highest elevation points like the Rim at Crater Lake. In the Siskiyous, 2 - 5 inches looks possible for places like Mt. Ashland.
Once we reach Sunday this storm will have basically moved on out, and then comes a rather tenuous ridge building in. I say tenuous because nobody is sure yet just how strong this ridge is going to be, or how long it will last. The data frankly is all over the place with this one. But, one thing has emerged. It is not looking like another storm will arrive until the Thanksgiving weekend at the earliest. This is great news for travel ahead of Thanksgiving as it looks like there will be a prolonged break after all from Sunday through Thanksgiving and then for Black Friday. It is looking like it will be the Saturday after Thanksgiving before we are even looking at the possibility of more storminess arriving.
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DRONE VIDEO BROUGHT TO YOU AS A PUBLIC SERVICE BY:
We are ready to be operational with the Phantom Drone aircraft provided by McMurray and Sons Roofing and Energy Management. We will change how you get immediate information from fires, floods, and other events that will impact your life in the region. This will give you much better information you will need to make decisions about evacuations or other measures to protect life and property.
The video you sill see below was shot during the thunderstorm that hit on Tuesday the 22nd of July. I was impressed by what I was seeing with the naked eye. I had NO idea what the camera was getting. What I saw was mind blowing! The video below is of one lightning strike sequence that happened over Jacksonville. Watch the difference between what your naked eye sees, and what our camera picks up. This is stunning stuff!
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For clearance and permission, please contact Greg Roberts at 541 - 261 - 8620.
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We are working on breaking down an impressive strike sequence that shows a lightning strike from it's genesis stage to the completed strike. Now, you can see this strike in the sequence above. But, when we get finished doing the frame by frame editing you are not going to believe what the camera picked up! I am thrilled because I have never seen a lightning strike sequence this well detailed before quite like this one.
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IN THE NEWS:
9450 Old Stage Road
Gold Hill, Oregon
541 - 855 - 7965
Laurel Hill is in Gold Hill and located right off of I - 5. This makes it easy to get to and a quick drive from Medford. The course is laid out on a former farm and it is easy to walk. It is heavily treed with Madronne and Oak trees lining every bit of the fairways and the greens. This makes well placed shots a must. Laurel Hill is a nine hole layout, with a driving range. It is a very laid back course and if you want to play in shorts and a tank top and not draw icy looks from your fellow golfers, this is your course. It is very kid friendly as well. They have a junior program that is wonderful to introduce kids to golf. This is also a course where your kids have their first chance of beating you!
1251 East McAndrews Road
541 - 770 - 2500
Want to improve your golf game quickly? REAL quickly? Make sure you have the proper equipment you need! That point cannot be stressed enough. Golf Etc. in Medford is a unique fitting and retail center with over 3,000 square feet dedicated to enhancing your golf game. They feature a full service repair shop, 130 square foot putting green with over 50 putters to try, and an indoor hitting area to test clubs before adding them to your bag. They are locally owned-and-operated and staffed by avid Golfers who know and love the game.
They stock a wide variety of the finest selection of brand name equipment including Callaway, Titleist, Nike, Ping, Mizuno and more. Their specially trained staff, with the aid of a computerized swing analysis system and a full inventory of the best equipment will get you fitted like the pros. They will work to find you the right clubhead and shaft combination for your style of play and swing. Golf Etc. specializes in custom clubs professionally built in-house with the highest level of craftsmanship. Come in today and find yourself on the course with a much better game. Jim and his staff are just wonderful to deal with.
22111 Highway 62
Shady Cove, Oregon.
541 - 878-2121
I have been going into the Shady Cove Market literally for as long as I can remember. The Shady Cove Market is a full service grocery store in which you can stock up for your major food purchases. But, they are also small enough to be very convenient as well. The best of both worlds. They have a deli for you to purchase hot food items, and then have a complete beverage selection so you can load up the coolers on your way to fun at the lakes, the river, or in the mountains. They are a true hometown shopping experience and serve the entire Upper Rogue community proudly. Fred Thomas and his staff are very supportive of a number of community activities and events. Please support them whenever you are in Shady Cove.
RogueWeather.com is based in Medford, Oregon. The founder, Greg Roberts is the forecaster. Greg has nearly 30 years of weather forecasting experience, specializing in severe weather events. Greg has received training from a variety of sources, including the University of Oklahoma.
Greg volunteers as a Skywarn weather observer for the National Weather Service. This has lead to many hours out in the field storm chasing and getting up close with the storms he loves.
Greg also served as a wildland and municipal fire fighter and EMT. While a fire fighter he earned many certifications including Engine Company Officer and Incident Commander for wildland fires. His weather knowledge was useful on wildland fires he worked in Oregon and Northern California. Greg still consults with various fire departments, and also for private wildland fire fighting companies on fire related matters.
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