Today's forecast 7/30/2014 - brought to you by Valley Immediate Care
Mostly sunny and hot with a chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms in all areas of Southern Oregon and Northern California, except the Coastal areas. Severe storms are possible with damaging winds to over 50 miles an hour and large hail. Some storms may have little moisture with them. Others may have heavy downpours. Expect frequent lightning and gusty winds with any storms. Highs will be in the low 100s for the valleys, and in the 90s for the mountains and east of the Cascades. Overnight lows will be near 70 for the valleys, with 50s and 60s for the mountains and east of the Cascades.
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THURSDAY TO 11 PM THURSDAY NIGHT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN JOSEPHINE COUNTY, EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY, AND ALL OF JACKSON, KLAMATH, AND LAKE COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN OREGON, AS WELL AS SISKIYOU AND MODOC COUNTIES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE WILLIAMS IN JOSEPHINE COUNTY, GLIDE, STEAMBOAT, TOKATEE, LEMOLO RESERVOIR, AND DIAMOND LAKE IN DOUGLAS COUNTY
The National Weather Service Office in Medford has issued a Red Flag Warning from 2 pm to 11 pm for expected development of thunderstorms with frequent lightning striking very dry fuels. This is expected to contribute to numerous fire starts. Some storms may have heavy rains with them, others will have wetting rains, and yet others could be dry storms with little if any rainfall. Lightning striking dry fuels and not getting rain would be certain fire starters. Storms may have gusty winds that could cause fires to gain size rapidly.
WEATHER SUMMARY DISCUSSION:
Yep, today's forecast looks almost identical to yesterday's. Also identical is a Red Flag Warning for today....which also looks to be up for the same areas again tomorrow. In reality the only real change to the forecasts comes on Friday. The threat for thunderstorms is going to be pushed east to the Cascades and then to the east of them. That is the big change right now. Otherwise the heat will continue unabated through next week as it appears right now.
Today is going to be another very active day for thunderstorms. All the triggers are there......and ample mid level moisture is now well in place over the areas west of the Cascades. We did have a cap present west of the Cascades yesterday that was expected to break down to allow thunderstorms to pop over the valleys west of the Cascades. That wound up not happening. We did see a lot of activity right along the boundary layer where the cap did break down enough. That included eastern Jackson County from Ashland up through Union Creek. Today's soundings and reading indicate that the thunderstorms will move all the way to the eastern slopes of the Coast Range. Much greater coverage for today. It also appears that we will see them over these same areas again tomorrow. Storms today are going to be producers of frequent lightning and downpours are possible with them as well.
There was a very noteworthy thunderstorm that formed yesterday evening in northern Klamath County. A very unusual supercell thunderstorm formed. Supercells normally will track southwest to northeast, but this one was a left turning cell. It went southeast to northwest. It also had a very strong mid level mesocyclone that was picked up by the radar. That is something normally seen in the Midwest. The storm cranked out winds over 50 miles an hour and was putting out large hail with it. Looking at the set up for today, we do see similar conditions in the atmosphere that could support the development of severe thunderstorms capable of unleashing 50 plus mile an hour winds along with large hail. Klamath County would again be the favored area for them, but, we could see them develop anywhere in the region. You will want to keep an eye on the sky and if a storm is going to hit, you will want to be indoors to be on the safe side.
FIRE INFORMATION BROUGHT TO YOU BY:
FIRE DANGER NOW EXTREME IN SOUTHERN OREGON ON ODF AND BLM LANDS
CLICK ON HAZARD BANNER TO GET FIRE RESTRICTION INFORMATION
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DRONE VIDEO BROUGHT TO YOU AS A PUBLIC SERVICE BY:
We are ready to be operational with the Phantom Drone aircraft provided by McMurray and Sons Roofing and Energy Management. We will change how you get immediate information from fires, floods, and other events that will impact your life in the region. This will give you much better information you will need to make decisions about evacuations or other measures to protect life and property.
The video you sill see below was shot during the thunderstorm that hit on Tuesday the 22nd of July. I was impressed by what I was seeing with the naked eye. I had NO idea what the camera was getting. What I saw was mind blowing! The video below is of one lightning strike sequence that happened over Jacksonville. Watch the difference between what your naked eye sees, and what our camera picks up. This is stunning stuff!
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We are working on breaking down an impressive strike sequence that shows a lightning strike from it's genesis stage to the completed strike. Now, you can see this strike in the sequence above. But, when we get finished doing the frame by frame editing you are not going to believe what the camera picked up! I am thrilled because I have never seen a lightning strike sequence this well detailed before quite like this one.
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IN THE NEWS:
As you may know, there was a fire in the field that the airport owns off Corona Avenue in North Medford recently. A combine was working harvesting barley when it suffered a mechanical malfunction and a fire resulted. Nearly three acres of barley, the combine, a fence at a home on Steelhead Run Drive, and kids plastic play toys were lost to the fire.
Here is the follow up on this:
The field is owned by the airport, but leased by a private party. The party who has leased the field is responsible for anything that happens there, especially anything happening as a result of agricultural activity which this most certainly was. The leasee pays the Airport for use of the land.
What is out there is barley. Barley is a highly valued grain crop. The Airport does not receive any of the revenue for the sale of the barley grown there. All revenue goes to the leasee.
They are going to get another combine out there and finish harvesting the barley. However, the harvest will only take place in the mornings. No more harvest in the afternoon and evening during the highest fire danger periods of the day. In the future, safety measures such as having a 50 foot set back zone near the homes, and fire breaks through the center of the field will be instituted. Being that this is in a city with homes at direct risk from fires in the field, those are prudent steps. The set back zones will not be cultivated and likely will be tilled dirt. I made the suggestion to Mr. Case that the leasee also have a water truck, or a pick up with a slip in fire pack to take care of fires if they do happen. He appreciated that suggestion and it will likely be a condition of lease moving forward.
As for the homeowners who did suffer losses from the fire in the form of a burned up fence, melted plastic kids toys and other losses, they will all be covered for the losses. Mr. Case told me that the County is working with the homeowners to get a full accounting of the total dollar loss and will be working with them to get full compensation, and in the case of the fence assisting in rebuilding it.
I know a lot of people were very angry about what happened based on the erroneous, (and still not corrected), information about this fire that other media outlets have given out. Only Rogueweather corrected the story so that the circumstances of what happened were correct. And, only Rogueweather has done any follow up on the story to let you know what is happening going forward.
Brandon Ray - Farmers Insurance
1361 Centre Drive Suite 100
541 - 776 - 3033
I have known Brandon almost his whole life. He has always been a very caring individual. It is this attribute that makes him so good at being an insurance agent. He genuinely cares about people. He will work with you to make sure you have what you love most in life fully protected. He will also be able to assist you in getting the right amount of coverage on your property of all types. If you have any insurance needs at all, I would recommend giving Brandon a call and sitting down with him to discuss your situation. You will be very happy that you did.
Father and Son Jewelry
126 East Main Street
541 - 774 - 8900
Father and Son Jewelry in Medford is VERY well known for their television commercials. But, they are also very well known for their customer satisfaction. Those who do business with Father and Son return again and again. Family owned and operated since 1958, they have provided excellent customer service and great pricing through four generations. Father and Son will beat any legitimate price. They have master jewelers on hand to help you find the right piece of jewelry for you. If you cannot find it, not to worry, they can custom design just what you want. In addition to jewelry, they offer men's and women's watches in a wide range of styles from sporty to elegant. Father & Son Jewelry also buys and sells gold, silver, diamonds, and gems. Bob Sr. the Father in Father and Son is no longer with us, but the legacy lives on with Bob Jr, the Son....and now daughters Wendy and Deb. They look forward to meeting you and helping you with your jewelry needs.
Hudson Saw and Tool
2919 North Pacific Highway
541 - 772 - 2293
Hudson Saw and Tool is the former Cal Ore Carbide. I have know these guys for over ten years and they are great. If you have any kind of power tools from any manufacturer they can repair it. They also have new and reconditioned power tools on sale. These include cordless. You can also find accessories to get the job done here. Really good people that work here and they all hunt and fish so you can go in and share your stories with them while you are getting your tools repaired or getting the bits you need.
Need to get your knives sharpened up before your next hunting or fishing trip? These are the guys to see! The crew at Hudson Saw and Tool has decades of experience in sharpening knives and saws. They can get your implements laser sharp. I trust all of my knives and other tools like bone saws to the pros at Hudson Saw and Tool to get a good sharp edge on them so they will be up to the job when I need them. They are also experts at saw sharpening and you will get professional grade saw sharpening done here. Tell 'em Rogueweather.com sent you.
RogueWeather.com is based in Medford, Oregon. The founder, Greg Roberts is the forecaster. Greg has nearly 30 years of weather forecasting experience, specializing in severe weather events. Greg has received training from a variety of sources, including the University of Oklahoma.
Greg volunteers as a Skywarn weather observer for the National Weather Service. This has lead to many hours out in the field storm chasing and getting up close with the storms he loves.
Greg also served as a wildland and municipal fire fighter and EMT. While a fire fighter he earned many certifications including Engine Company Officer and Incident Commander for wildland fires. His weather knowledge was proven to be useful on major wildland fires in Southern Oregon and Northern California. Greg still consults with various fire departments and agencies and also for private wildland fire fighting companies.
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