Today's forecast 7/21/2014 - brought to you by Valley Immediate Care
Mostly cloudy and cooler with a chance for showers and thunderstorms. The storms will be most likely over Northern California, the Cascades, and east of the Cascades. Showers and storms could produce heavy rain. The strongest storms may produce large hail. Storms may also produce gusty winds. Highs today will be in the upper 80s for the valleys, and in the 70s and 80s for the mountains and east of the Cascades. Overnight lows will be in the mid 60s for the valleys, and in the 50s for the mountains and east of the Cascades.
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH 11 PM TONIGHT FOR SISKIYOU, AND MODOC COUNTIES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, AND KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN OREGON. AND, FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM TUESDAY FOR SISKIYOU, AND MODOC COUNTIES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST JOSEPHINE COUNTY, EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY, AND FOR ALL OF JACKSON, KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN OREGON.
The National Weather Service Office in Medford has issued a fire weather watch for the advisory area due to the expected development of thunderstorms with frequent lightning striking critically dry fuels. While the storms are expected to be rain producers, early on they could be high based dry cells. As the storms become wetter, lightning hitting on the edges of the storms could pose a risky for fire starts if the rain cores of the storms misses the area where the lightning strike occurred. Lightning activity is expected to be frequent with the storms that do form.
WEATHER SUMMARY DISCUSSION:
We are looking at a pattern shift today that is likely to produce rainfall for many parts of our region, but is also likely to produce lightning as well. We are caught between two systems. We have a low moving into Canada to our north, and a low is working it's way northeast off the coast of Southern California. We happen to be caught in the flow off both systems and this is producing what is known as a deformation zone directly over us. This is feeding moisture in along with cooler temperatures. Shortwaves embedded in the flow will provide the triggers to fire off showers and storms over the next 2 days. The good news is the cooling, higher humidity levels, and the rain that will result from the showers and storms. The bad news is the lightning. Red Flag Warnings are up for Siskiyou, Modoc, Klamath, and Lake Counties for today as storms are expected to develop with frequent lightning. The storms could be dry initially, but we do expect them to moisten up and become rain producers. Look for gusty winds to be possible near any storms. The strongest storms that form could produce large hail as well approaching golf ball size. Mot expecting that to be widespread, but an isolated storm or two may reach the point to produce hail of that size.
While I cannot rule storms out for today in the Valleys of Southwest Oregon, just don't see them as being as likely as they will be tomorrow. We will have a much stronger shortwave come through the area at max convective point and this is likely to generate thunderstorm activity for areas west of the Cascades. A fire weather watch has been posted for tomorrow for Eastern Douglas County, and Jackson County as a result. Looks like lightning activity will be frequent again tomorrow with any storms that form. Yes, the storms look to be rain producers and they will have gusty winds. Some of them may produce hail as well, but it is not looking as likely for the large hail as today is.
The storms will clear out of the area on Wednesday and we will make a transition back to having a ridge building over us. As that process occurs, look for gusty conditions for the mountains and east of the Cascades on Wednesday and Thursday. That will not be good news for fire fighting efforts. As we reach Friday the ridge will have finished building back in and we will get back into hot temperatures. Look for upper 90s on Friday followed by low 100s for the valleys this weekend.
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Mother's Day, Graduation, Father's Day, and other major events are coming up. Many wedding anniversaries happen in the summer. You will find GREAT gifts and ideas for all of these upcoming special events by looking through the business directory / partner's page at Rogueweather.com. All of these businesses are committed to supporting the local community. Here is the link to get you to the business directory / partner's page.......http://rogueweather.com/index.php/partner-directory
Rogueweather.com is on KMED am 1440 Monday and Friday at 7:10 am. I will be doing outdoor recreation reports giving you a quick look at what is going on in Southern Oregon. These are brought to you by Waterworld Boat and Power Sports. For the latest in news from Southern Oregon and the world......click on the banner below and you will get updated by KMED on all that is going on.
For road conditions, check out the Bob Thomas Automotive Road Condition page.
The Valley Immediate Care Ski report page will give you information and links to ski areas in Oregon and California. We also will give you information on Whistler Blackcomb up in British Columbia.
Our Home and Garden page will be full of information that you can use. Get tips and ideas for home improvement, landscaping, and gardening.
Get GREAT off road power sports action on the Off Road Recreation page.
On the Waterworld Boat and Power Sports fishing page I give the latest information for fishing in Southern Oregon. I cover it all from the lakes, to the rivers, to the ocean.
The Camping page is a great resource. You will find information on where to camp, plus forecasts. Be sure to check it out.
The Southern Oregon Fine Meats hunting page is full of information for hunters.
Archery hunters, check out our Archery page. You will find information including how to do its, and hunting videos, plus a photo gallery. I think you will like what you find there.
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IN THE NEWS:
As you may know, there was a fire in the field that the airport owns off Corona Avenue in North Medford last Thursday evening. A combine was working harvesting barley when it suffered a mechanical malfunction and a fire resulted. Nearly three acres of barley, the combine, a fence at a home on Steelhead Run Drive, and kids plastic play toys were lost to the fire.
Here is the follow up on this:
The field is owned by the airport, but leased by a private party. The party who has leased the field is responsible for anything that happens there, especially anything happening as a result of agricultural activity which this most certainly was. The leasee pays the Airport for use of the land.
What is out there is barley. Barley is a highly valued grain crop. The Airport does not receive any of the revenue for the sale of the barley grown there. All revenue goes to the leasee.
They are going to get another combine out there and finish harvesting the barley. However, the harvest will only take place in the mornings. No more harvest in the afternoon and evening during the highest fire danger periods of the day. In the future, safety measures such as having a 50 foot set back zone near the homes, and fire breaks through the center of the field will be instituted. Being that this is in a city with homes at direct risk from fires in the field, those are prudent steps. The set back zones will not be cultivated and likely will be tilled dirt. I made the suggestion to Mr. Case that the leasee also have a water truck, or a pick up with a slip in fire pack to take care of fires if they do happen. He appreciated that suggestion and it will likely be a condition of lease moving forward.
As for the homeowners who did suffer losses from the fire in the form of a burned up fence, melted plastic kids toys and other losses, they will all be covered for the losses. Mr. Case told me that the County is working with the homeowners to get a full accounting of the total dollar loss and will be working with them to get full compensation, and in the case of the fence assisting in rebuilding it.
I know a lot of people were very angry about what happened based on the erroneous, (and still not corrected), information about this fire that other media outlets have given out. Only Rogueweather corrected the story so that the circumstances of what happened were correct. And, only Rogueweather has done any follow up on the story to let you know what is happening going forward.
Wild Rivers Pilates and Fitness.
29286 Ellensburg Ave
Gold Beach, Ore
541 - 425 - 5161
While enjoying the great outdoors, reward your wife. husband, friends and guests with something new, Pilates in Gold Beach! Pilates is a body conditioning routine that can help build flexibility, muscle strength, and endurance. It puts emphasis on spinal and pelvic alignment, breathing, and developing a strong core or center, and improving coordination and balance. Wild Rivers Pilates and Fitness formally Santa Barbara Pilates Studio has relocated to the Southern Oregon Coast bringing 15 + years of experience working with clients of all ages and sizes and rehabilitating clients after back. knee and shoulder injuries. They can help you maintain your own personal fitness goals whether that is keeping you on track with your current activities or helping you work through a recent injury. While visiting the South Coast in the Gold Beach area.....give them a call and book a session and see what they can help you accomplish. Tell them Rogueweather sent you.
Judy's Flowers and Gifts
Grants Pass, Central Point, and Ashland, Oregon
I have used Judy's for my floral needs for years. They always deliver quality and their prices are very affordable. They are an FTD Florist and can handle your needs to have flowers sent literally anywhere in the world. They do deliveries to any location in Jackson and Josephine Counties. Their choices of flowers and plants are amazing. The quality of them is the very best. I am amazed at how long their flower bouquets last. They truly are remarkable. In addition to flowers and plants, Judy's also has gift baskets available and you will find something for anyone there. These are wonderful people to work with and they will be a business you will turn to again and again to take care of your florist needs. Be sure to "like" their facebook page to get in on contests to win bouquets and other goodies, and to also see special offers for their facebook friends.
White's Country Farm
3939 West Main Street (at the corner of Arnold Lane near Jacksonville)
541 - 773 - 8031
The owners of White's, Mark and Linda, took it over in April, 2006. White's first produce stand dates back to the 1970's, and the White family is pleased that the tradition continues with Mark and Linda who are the perfect fit to keep White's good reputation and operation running successfully. White's is always the best place to find locally raised fruits and vegetables. Linda was born and raised in England and enjoys surrounding herself with a taste of home. At White's, you'll find a large selection of her handpicked favorite imported English goods which are always popular. She also turns out wonderful baked goods that you just have to try. She specializes in traditional English country comfort food that is second to none. Her chicken pot pies are fabulous! White's Country Farm's emphasis is on providing customers with top quality fruit along with superior customer service. Offering organic, fresh, local merchandise is Mark and Linda's top priority. "We work hard to ensure that our products are of the highest quality at all times," says Mark. Make sure you give them a try if you want the best and freshest fruit and vegetables with the emphasis on locally raised.
RogueWeather.com is based in Medford, Oregon. The founder, Greg Roberts is the forecaster. Greg has nearly 30 years of weather forecasting experience, specializing in severe weather events. Greg has received training from a variety of sources, including the University of Oklahoma.
Greg volunteers as a Skywarn weather observer for the National Weather Service. This has lead to many hours out in the field storm chasing and getting up close with the storms he loves.
Greg also served as a wildland and municipal fire fighter and EMT. While a fire fighter he earned many certifications including Engine Company Officer and Incident Commander for wildland fires. His weather knowledge was proven to be useful on major wildland fires in Southern Oregon and Northern California. Greg still consults with various fire departments and agencies and also for private wildland fire fighting companies.
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