TODAY'S FORECAST - 12/1/2015
Patchy areas of fog this morning west of the Cascades, otherwise increasing clouds today with rain developing at the Coast and in the Coast Range tonight, and a chance of rain inland. Highs will be near 50 for the valleys, upper 50s at the Coast, and in the 30s and 40s for the mountains and east of the Cascades. Overnight lows will be near 40 in the valleys, near 50 for the Coast, and in the 30s for the mountains and east of the Cascades.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 10 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN OREGON, AND FOR EASTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY AND ALL OF MODOC COUNTY IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.
The National Weather Service in Medford, Oregon has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the above areas due to the expected development of both snow, and then freezing rain or sleet.
An incoming weather system will send warmer air over the top of cold air trapped at the surface. As precipitation falls through this cold air it will begin as light snow. Accumulations of up to 2 inches of snow are possible.
The cold air layer then becomes shallower and the precipitation type is expected to turn over to freezing rain or sleet, or both. The amounts will be very light, but roads and highways will be coated with ice making them extremely hazardous for travel.
The timing of this event is expected to make the morning commute in the advisory area difficult. Allow plenty of time for travel, even for short distances. Avoid non essential travel.
The warm air should mix down to the surface ending the frozen precipitation by Noon tomorrow.
Locations in the advisory are include; Crescent, Chemult, Christmas Valley, Summer Lake, Paisley. Chiloquin, Klamath Falls, Lakeview, Bly, Adel, Dorris, Butte Valley, Weed, McCloud, Canby, and Alturas.
Highways that could be impacted include; Highway 97, Highway 140, Highway 31, Highway 39, Highway 395, Highway 89, and Highway 299.
Need the forecast for the next week? Get it here on the Line X of Southern Oregon Weekly forecast page!
WEATHER SUMMARY DISCUSSION - Presented by Pressure Point Roofing
We have a frontal system pushing towards us this morning that will deliver rain to the Coast and the Coast Range by tonight. What is less certain is how much rain will be seen inland from this system. Looking at the setup, it looks like we have a chance of situation inland east of he Coast Range. This is not too uncommon and it is one reason why the Coast and the Coast Range see so much more rain than does say Medford, Grants Pass, or Roseburg. The Coast Range acts as a really good rain catcher on some systems. This is going to be one of those. Looking at the forecasts, they could be seeing days and days of rain coming up in Brookings and Gold Beach. Over the last few winters, that has been a very rare situation. So seeing this is actually good news. It is further proof that we are indeed swinging back to more customary weather patterns here. And, this is another sign of the drought coming to an end.
Come tomorrow morning as the moisture moves east of the Cascades, things could get rather messy. We will see the exact same scenario we saw yesterday in Douglas and Josephine Counties along with parts of Jackson County. Warm air aloft will overrun cold air trapped at the surface. So tomorrow morning east of the Cascades they will look to have a period of snow. Then as the cold air layer thins out, the possibility of freezing rain and sleet emerges. It does not look like there would be much icing happening, but you only need a little to make the roads very hazardous. We saw that yesterday in Douglas County and also to a lesser extent in Josephine County. I will be keeping an eye on that of course. But, if you have travel plans that would take you on Highway 97, Highway 140, Highway 31, and Highway 395 tomorrow morning, you will want to be checking road conditions and forecasts.
On Thursday we are going to have a powerful storm come in. There had been some question as to how strong the winds will be and how much rain. Those questions have been answered now. We are going to see very windy conditions across the region. High wind watches are already up for the Coast, the Shasta Valley in Northern California, and areas east of the Cascades. Winds in these areas could reaching 70 - 90 miles an hour at times. We could be seeing winds reaching 40 - 50 miles an hour over the entire area. You will want to get things secured now before this comes in. If you have trees with leaves still on them, this will be the event that strips those leaves off. Rain with this storm also looks to be very significant. What will limit the rain totals will be the speed at which the storm moves through the area. But, expect 2 - 3 inches for the Coast and Coast Range and over an inch for the Cascades. The valley areas, and especially the Rogue Valley around Medford will be seeing lesser amounts of rain because there will be a strong downsloping effect, aka Doughnut Hole with this storm. This will keep Medford drier. It will also be happening in the Shasta Valley and the Umpqua Basin as well. But, where the rains come down, they really come down. As for snow, snow levels are going to be running high through most of the storm. It looks like they will be around 7000 feet. But, on Friday morning snow levels begin to come down and will be at 3500 feet by Friday afternoon. By the time they do get down to that elevation point, the moisture will be pretty well out of the area. This means that locations like Mt. Ashland, Diamond Lake, and Lake of the Woods may only see 2 - 3 inches of new snow from the storm.
But, we are hardly finished with the stormy weather. Yet another strong storm hits the Northwest later Saturday into Saturday night bringing in more wind, rain, and mountain snow. Snow levels look lower on that storm with 5000 feet looking to be the elevation point here. Much better news for Mt. Ashland, Diamond Lake, and Lake of the Woods. The data is showing hat we will see very active to stormy weather continuing right through next week with rain and snow continuing to arrive in our region. The exact timing and strength of these systems is still needing to be worked out.
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IN THE NEWS:
Western Auto Sales
15 West Vilas Road, at the intersection with Table Rock Road
Central Point, Oregon.
541 - 500 - 8555
Western Auto Sales has moved back to their original location at the corner of Vilas and Table Rock Roads. They are a small family owned operation. You deal with the owners Jesse and Janet, and their sons Ed and Tim. Western Auto Sales has a great selection of pre owned vehicles on hand. They go through them thoroughly and they do Carfax them to get the history of the vehicle. Be sure to go to their website and check out the current inventory. I can say this.....I have known Jesse and Janet and the whole family for a number of years now. My current vehicle is a 2005 Chevy Colorado Crew Cab 4 x 4 that I purchased from them. It was the easiest vehicle purchase of my life. They treat everybody like they are a member of the family. I can totally recommend Western Auto Sales and have to many people. I even recommend them to people I have to see everyday.....and you know you get great customer service in the car business for somebody to do that! Western Auto Sales really is your stop for vehicles of all kinds. They deal with many local lenders so they can get your financing quickly put together. When you go in...be sure to tell themRogueweather.com sent you.
Bob Thomas Automotive
535 Rossanley Drive
541 - 734 - 3743
Cannot recommend Bob and his guys enough! Honest and professional are just two of the ways I sum up the crew at Bob Thomas Automotive. They do keep Rogueweather.com on the road. Bob has been repairing my vehicles since he started Bob Thomas Automotive. He is always on time with a job, and the final bill always matches the estimate. They can work on any make or model. The staff is highly trained and certified for work on gas and diesel engines. There isn't any kind of engine repair or maintenance they cannot do. They do offer a shuttle for jobs that will take a few hours, and if you are going to need a car for a bit to replace your ride while they fix it, there are loaners available. Need an oil change or other routine maintenance done? They will get you taken care of quickly. Bob is as great a guy as you will ever meet. And this is a family affair as Bob's son Brian works the service desk helping customers and wife Lorie and daughter Nicole run the office. By the way.....don't get Bob talking about classic hot rods or fishing...you'll be there all day!
Stewart Avenue Barber Shop
841 W. Stewart Avenue #8
541 - 770 - 5236
This is your classic barber shop that you remember from trips with dad or grandpa to get a haircut. It's a spot the guys go to hang out and talk about what is going on. That could be hunting, fishing, or what is happening in town. The family who owns it are celebrating 40 years in business now. When you go in you usually find Denise and her brother Steve doing the haircuts. They are great and this is where I get my haircuts. Give them a try, you will like them.
RogueWeather.com is based in Medford, Oregon. The founder, Greg Roberts is the forecaster. Greg has nearly 30 years of weather forecasting experience, specializing in severe weather events. Greg has received training from a variety of sources, including the University of Oklahoma.
Greg volunteers as a Skywarn weather observer for the National Weather Service. This has lead to many hours out in the field storm chasing and getting up close with the storms he loves.
Greg also served as a wildland and municipal fire fighter and EMT. While a fire fighter he earned many certifications including Engine Company Officer and Incident Commander for wildland fires. His weather knowledge was useful on wildland fires he worked in Oregon and Northern California. Greg still consults with various fire departments, and also for private wildland fire fighting companies on fire related matters.
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