FORECAST FOR 7/31/2015
Mostly sunny and very hot. Expect widespread smoke and haze from fires in Northern California. A chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms in the mountains, east of the Cascades, and in Northern California. A slight chance for an isolated storm in the valleys of Southwest Oregon this evening. Storms that form are not expected to produce significant wetting rainfall. Storms are likely to produce gusty outflow winds. Highs will be 107 - 110 for the valleys, and near 100 to the low 100s for the mountains and east of the Cascades. Overnight lows will be in the low 70s for the valleys, and in the 60s for the mountains and east of the Cascades.
HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 11 PM SATURDAY FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF OREGON
The National Weather Service has issued a Heat Advisory due to hot temperatures during the day followed by very warm conditions in the overnight hours providing little relief.
A ridge has built in over the region bringing in hot air from the Desert Southwest. Temperatures are going to be near 100 for the northern Willamette Valley, to the low 100s for the southern Willamette Valley. Inland valleys of Southwestern Oregon will be seeing highs ranging from 106 - 110 again today and 102 - 105 on Saturday. East of the Cascades highs are expected to be in the upper 90s approaching 100, with triple digits likely for the Pendleton, Hermiston, La Grande, and Ontario areas.
Follow all heat precautions during this time. Drink plenty of water avoiding alcoholic, caffeinated, or sugary beverages. Wear loose fitting, light colored clothing. Avoid prolonged exposure to the sun between 12 pm and 7 pm. Wear sunscreens of at least 30 spf. Check on elderly neighbors, especially on those in homes without air conditioning. Never leave children or pets in vehicles. Provide plenty of shade and water for animals outside.
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH 9 PM TONIGHT FOR EASTERN COOS COUNTY AND ALL OF DOUGLAS COUNTY INCLUDING THE CABLE CROSSING FIRE AND STOUT CREEK FIRE AREAS IN SOUTHWEST OREGON.
The National Weather Service office in Medford, Oregon has issued a Red Flag Warning for the above areas due to expected low humidity levels near 10 percent this afternoon and early evening along with a Haines Index of 6 which will be conducive to plume dominated fire behavior. This will lead to very active to possibly extreme fire behavior at the Cable Crossing and Stouts Creek Fires and would contribute to increased ignition possibility of new fires, and then rapid rates of spread. Winds are also likely this afternoon and evening. Gusts should remain below 20 miles an hour. But, coupled with low humidity rates and the Haines of 6........running, torching, and crowning would be expected fire behaviors.
In addition, there is a threat for thunderstorms in the eastern portion of Douglas County this afternoon and evening. These storms are expected to produce frequent lightning striking very dry fuels. Very little rainfall is expected with these storms. Gusty outflow winds will help cause rapid rates of spread on new fire starts, and will cause erratic behavior on existing fires.
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 11 PM TONIGHT FOR THE SOUTHERN CASCADES AND THE SISKIYOUS MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHERN OREGON
The National Weather Service office in Medford, Oregon has issued a Red Flag Warning for the above areas due to expected development of thunderstorms with frequent lightning striking very dry fuels. The storms that will form will produce little to no rainfall. Numerous new fire starts that overwhelm initial response capability are expected. Additionally, gusty outflow winds will cause new fire starts to spread rapidly, and create erratic behavior on established fires.
WEATHER SUMMARY DISCUSSION - Brought to you by: CRATER LAKE FORD
The data this morning is a nightmare. We have gone from bad to worse. We have the very hot conditions in store for us again today. Roseburg's all time hottest recorded temperature ever is 109. That was set on July 20th, 1946. That same day Medford set it's all time hottest recorded temperature mark of 116. Roseburg will have a shot to tie, or even break it's all time record high today. It is going to be that kind of a day. But now comes the worse news. We did see monsoonal moisture make it up into our area late yesterday. A couple isolated thunderstorms did pop in Southern Siskiyou County. These were dry storms. Lightning from them has ignited new fires to our south. That same thing happened in other parts of Northern California as weak shortwave went through that had just enough juice to get isolated storms popping. The door is now wide open for that kind of activity to arrive in Southern Oregon today. The Cascades and Siskiyous have the best chance for storms, so Red Flag Warnings went up there. But, just about any place in the area could see a storm this afternoon or evening. And sadly, the storms look to be dry. They are not going to produce much if any rainfall. Gusty outflow winds from the storms would cause any new fire starts to spread quickly, and established fires will see erratic fire behavior. The heat and low humidity were already producing dangerous fire conditions, and now this. Obviously most of you have heard about the Stouts Creek Fire in Southern Douglas County. That fire just exploded in size as the conditions caused it to have extreme fire behavior. It was burning at the rate of a thousand acres an hour for a time late yesterday afternoon and into the evening. Those same conditions will be present today. I would expect very active to extreme fire behavior from both the Cable Crossing and Stouts Creek fires.
There is plenty of smoke and haze over Southern Oregon this morning, but that is coming from the fires in Northern California. The smoke from the fires in Douglas County is largely being transported out of the area. The smoke and haze will be thick enough to provide a screening effect of the sun. But, that will not hold temperatures down. We might see smoke from the fires in Douglas County impact the Rogue and Illinois Valleys as we get to Sunday and then next week as we will see a wind shift. And, who knows what knew fires might get started and take off over the next three days. Depending on what the lightning does, we could have a lot of new fires to contend with. It seems almost certain there will be new major fires to deal with.
The only good news I can offer comes on Sunday. It does look like we will see wetter thunderstorms happening then. That is going to be very welcome rainfall indeed where it happens. And, in even better news, a trough is going to push across the area next week. This will bring an end to the heat wave. It will usher in cooler temps with much higher humidity levels. That will be a huge help to fire fighters. It looks like we will be in the upper 80s for highs for Thursday and Friday next week. At this time the forecasts keep skies sunny and we do not have much of a thunderstorm threat. The one negative next week would likely be smoke from fires in the area. But where that smoke will be worst is something we just cannot tell right now.
The Weather Summary is proudly presented by Crater Lake Ford here in Medford. The right car, the right price, the right experience. Visit them online by clicking on the link http://craterlakemotors.com/.
The support I have received from all of you is tremendous. It really is. The traffic both here on the website, and on social media is exceeding my every expectation. You people are awesome.
I am asking just one thing of you. One. VISIT the sponsors of Rogueweather. This is VERY easy to do. EVERY ad here on Rogueweather.com links to a website or a facebook page. Just click on those banner ads. Each day I feature sponsors here on the home page and on facebook. When you see them, click on the link to visit them. That is all you have to do. Easy, quick, simple. No real effort required. But it means a LOT later when I ask for their continued support of Rogueweather. It really does. They can then see for themselves how much you believe in Rogueweather. Obviously buying your goods and services from these wonderful people is great. And when you do that....PLEASE let them know you have seen them on Rogueweather.
Mother's Day, Graduation, Father's Day, and other major events are coming up. Many wedding anniversaries happen in the summer. You will find GREAT gifts and ideas for all of these upcoming special events by looking through the business directory / partner's page at Rogueweather.com. All of these businesses are committed to supporting the local community. Here is the link to get you to the business directory / partner's page.......http://rogueweather.com/index.php/partner-directory
Rogueweather.com is on KMED am 1440 Monday and Friday at about 7:06 am. I will be doing outdoor recreation reports giving you a quick look at what is going on in Southern Oregon. These are brought to you by Waterworld Boat and Power Sports. For the latest in news from Southern Oregon and the world......click on the banner below and you will get updated by KMED on all that is going on.
IN THE NEWS:
OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FISH AND WILDLIFE ANNOUNCES EMERGENCY CLOSURES IN RIVERS AND STREAMS TO PROTECT SALMON, STEELHEAD, AND TROUT.
The Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife has announced emergency restrictions over most of the state designed to protect salmon, steelhead, sturgeon, and trout.
Effective July 18th, angling for salmon, steelhead, sturgeon, and trout is closed daily after 2 pm until 1 hour before sunrise the following day in most of Oregon. Locally there are two sections of the Rogue River not affected by this action. One is the Upper Rogue from Fishers Ferry upstream to the hatchery. The other is the lower Rogue River in the tidewater area.
The closure was announced due to extremely warm water temps that place undue stress on fish and lead to high mortality rates for fish that are hooked and released, or fish that are hooked and not landed.
Click here to the link to the ODF&W website on the matter.
Wild Rivers Fishing
541 - 813 - 1082
This is a sponsor to Rogueweather I am THRILLED to get! Andy Martin is the owner of Wild Rivers Fishing and he is one of the top guides in all the Northwest. He is based out of Brookings and specializes in fishing trips on the rivers of Southwest Oregon, and also the Smith River in Northern California. And if it is giants you want, this is your guy! He can get you a chance at a 60 pound plus fall chinook, or a 20 pound plus winter run steelhead. Andy and his crew of guides have the knowledge to get you doing exactly what you need to do to get the fish of a lifetime.
Andy is now expanding his service to include ocean fishing trips out of Brookings. Brookings is the number one chinook salmon port on the entire Oregon coast. When that season is on from May through early September, Andy and his guides will get you into some red hot salmon fishing. You can also get a cooler full of bottomfish. When the crabbing is good, you can soak pots while you are out after salmon or bottomfish. Then when you come back in, pull your pots and enjoy fresh crab. If fishing is not your thing and you would just like to take in the beauty of the Chetco River, or do whale watching off shore of Brookings, call Wild Rivers Fishing and ask about those trips to. Andy and his guides are all awesome to spend a day with. I highly recommend them for your adventures in Southern Oregon.
Audiology Associates of Southern Oregon.
1867 Williams Highway.
Grants Pass, OR.
822 Alder Creek Drive.
541 - 474 - 4694 - Grants Pass.
541 - 772 - 8337 - Medford.
For over 27 years, Audiology Associates of Southern Oregon has been helping people improve the quality of their lives in Grants Pass, Medford and surrounding areas in Southern Oregon. Their Audiologists have a reputation for always having the latest digital hearing aids on the market today. They provide excellent service to patients by diagnosing their hearing problem with a hearing test so they are able to provide you with the best solution. If hearing aids are needed, they will evaluate your hearing loss and lifestyle so they can provide you with the best hearing technology to suit your needs. You need not suffer a loss of quality of life due to hearing issues. Audiology Associates of Southern Oregon can help make sure you fully hear the world around you.
1007 East Jackson St
Medford, OR 97504
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RogueWeather.com is based in Medford, Oregon. The founder, Greg Roberts is the forecaster. Greg has nearly 30 years of weather forecasting experience, specializing in severe weather events. Greg has received training from a variety of sources, including the University of Oklahoma.
Greg volunteers as a Skywarn weather observer for the National Weather Service. This has lead to many hours out in the field storm chasing and getting up close with the storms he loves.
Greg also served as a wildland and municipal fire fighter and EMT. While a fire fighter he earned many certifications including Engine Company Officer and Incident Commander for wildland fires. His weather knowledge was useful on wildland fires he worked in Oregon and Northern California. Greg still consults with various fire departments, and also for private wildland fire fighting companies on fire related matters.
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