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Scroll down to see today's forecast and any current weather warnings, advisories, or watches in effect. You will also find a weather summary which will tell you what is going on with our weather. Further down the page you will find a directory to other pages here at Rogueweather.com giving you information on road conditions, the weekly weather forecasts, and of course outdoor recreation of every kind. Lower down on the page you will see what is making news, and you can find links to show you real time radar and satellite images courtesy of the National Weather Service. 


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Today's forecast 9/16/2014 - brought to you by Valley Immediate Care 

Mostly sunny with areas of smoke. Expect gusty winds east of the Cascades and in Siskiyou County especially near Weed and the Boles Fire. Winds will gust to 25 miles in the Klamath Basin and to 35 miles an hour near Weed. Highs will be near 90 for the valleys, with 70s to the low 80s for the mountains and east of the Cascades. Overnight lows will be in the upper 50s for the valleys, and in the 40s to the low 50s for the mountains and east of the Cascades. 


Valley Immediate Care is the proud presenter of Rogueweather.com. Click on the link to visit them.

Need the forecast for the next week? Get it here on the Line X of Southern Oregon Weekly forecast page!


Have news and notes from the outdoors world. A long standing bird hunting season has been changed in Oregon due to an abundance of them, and Mt. Ashland returns a very popular season pass option for the first time in YEARS. Scroll down below for the story.


WEATHER SUMMARY DISCUSSION:

Yesterday the thunderstorms never materialized as the shortwave that was expected to produce them fell apart. But the trough that is moving in also helped produce the winds that drove the Boles Fire down in Weed to such devastating results. Winds may still be an issue down in the Weed area today, but not expected to be as strong. Still, could be seeing gusts as high as 35 miles an hour down there. The big thing everybody will be seeing today is the cooling that will continue through Thursday. Highs today will be right around 90 for Medford, but by Thursday we look to be near 80. Additionally, the trough will see another shortwave come through it. This one is much better organized and stronger than the one yesterday was. It is looking to create at least the chance for showers over a wide area on Wednesday night through Thursday morning. Not looking for any big amounts, but at this point...ANY rain is very welcome indeed. When we hit Friday the next ridge will be building in, and by the weekend we return to sunny and hot for the forecasts. Through all of this, be expecting smoke to be present in the area. I still believe that with the wind shifts coming in response to the trough and the airflow change, the bulk of the smoke should be headed south into California.




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MAJOR FIRE UPDATES - 9/16/14 at 6:00 pm

I will be reporting on major fires in the region that pose a significant threat, or have not reached the point where they are of minimal stable fire activity. I will not be reporting on fires that are considered to be well under control, or not likely to be a threat to grow any longer of any size.


OREGON - 


ONION MOUNTAIN FIRE: Josephine County, near Merlin. Cause is human, and under investigation. Burning on the Rogue Siskiyou National Forest. National type II IMT is in command. 3000 plus acres, 2 percent contained. Fire is burning in grass, brush, and timber. Active fire behavior with uphill runs and group torching. On Monday, retardant was dropped along the southeast side of the fire; crews and dozers will be building line in that area today. Also today, crews plan to establish containment line along the southwest flank of the fire assisted by retardant drops as needed. The primary spread of the fire on Monday was to the northeast and a push from the southwest is expected to continue today. Resources from Oregon Department of Forestry are engaged in the effort to stop the northeastward progress of the fire. A structural protection group from Rural/Metro Fire Department is in place as a contingency in the event the fire were to make a run toward populated areas.  Once again.....here are those areas, and what level 1 means. From the Josephine County Sheriff's Department: LEVEL ONE Evacuation Advisory for the following areas: 1. The entire Pickett Creek area, including Pickett Creek Rd, West Pickett Creek Rd and all roads off of those. Everything North of the Robertson Bridge on the West side of the Rogue River. 2. All of the Shan Creek Rd. system from Riverbanks Rd. to the west. 3. Riverbanks Rd. from Limpy Creek Rd. to the Robertson Bridge. 4. All of Taylor Creek Rd. (FS25 Rd) road system from Galice Road, including connection to the 2509 Road that enters Hwy. 199 at the top of Hayes Hill. An informational number has been set up at 541-474-5305. See below for descriptions of evacuation levels.LEVEL 1: A Level 1 Evacuation means “BE READY” for potential evacuation. Residents should be aware of the danger that exists in their area, monitor emergency services websites and local media outlets for information. This is the time for preparation and precautionary movement of persons with special needs, mobile property and (under certain circumstances) pets and livestock. If conditions worsen, emergency services personnel will contact you directly. Closures: Sam Brown Campground and Horse Camp, Briggs Campground, Myers Campground, Portions of Forest Road (FR) 2500, FR 2509, and FR 2706. Resources working the fire include 11 hand crews, 13 engines, 7 water tenders, 8 bulldozers, 12 helicopters, and 5 air tankers. Total personnel - 365


790 FIRE FINAL REPORT UNLESS SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY OCCURS: Jackson and Klamath Counties, 10 miles southeast of Prospect, and 20 miles northwest of Butte Falls. Burning on the Rogue Siskiyou National Forest and Fremont - Winema National Forest. An Oregon IMT II has command of the fire. Command of the fire will transition back to the local unit Wednesday morning. 3036 acres, 85 percent containment at last report. Fire is burning in timber. Minimal fire behavior. The 790 Fire is the last remaining fire of the China Cap Complex that began on July 31st from lightning. The 790 Fire is located in the Sky Lakes Wilderness and adjacent Forest Service lands to the west. Firefighters continued mop up on the western portion of the fire by extinguishing burning debris along the fire’s edge 100-150 feet within the fire perimeter. Helicopters will continue to support firefighters to backhaul the remaining spike camp supplies, excess equipment, and shuttle crews from the fire. Crews will continue to repair suppression impact within secured areas of the fire to minimize erosion. These repair measures include; masking chain saw cuts, covering exposed soil and constructing water bars. The closure area has been redefined and is now entirely within the Sky Lakes Wilderness. All trails within the wilderness, including the Pacific Crest Trail (PCT), on both the Rogue River-Siskiyou and Fremont-Winema National Forests are now open. The fire area west of the PCT remains closed due to public safety concerns, which include fire-weakened trees, helicopter operations, and burning debris within the fire perimeter. Roads immediately west of the fire outside of the wilderness also remain closed to reduce conflicts between fire operations and the public. The revised area closure and details can be found at www.fs.usda.gov/rogue-siskiyou or http://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/4095. Pacific Crest Trail information is available at http://www.pcta.org/.  The resource mix on the fire includes 8 hand crews, 5 engines, 3 water tenders, and 7 helicopters. Total personnel - 352


DECEPTION COMPLEX INCLUDES PREVIOUS REPORTED STALEY COMPLEX: Willamette National Forest. Lightning caused. An Oregon Interagency IMT II has command. 5737 acres total, 75 percent contained. Fires are burning in timber. Fire behavior was moderate with isolated interior torching. Road closures are in place. The Deception Creek Fire continued to burn actively yesterday, but did stay within established control lines. Unburned islands of vegetation remain mostly along the western perimeter of the fire that will continue to burn and produce smoke for days to come. The Deception Creek Fire continues to be managed under a full suppression strategy which is designed to keep the fire size as small as possible while maintaining public and firefighter safety, and protecting natural resources. Mop up (extinguishing all burning material) along the perimeter of the fire is progressing as planned and may be completed within the next few days making the containment lines more secure. As more vegetation within the fire lines is burnt, fire managers feel more confident in meeting containment objectives. The Staley Fire and the Deception Fire are the only remaining fires in the complex that have not been contained or returned back to the local units. Resource mix assigned includes 14 hand crews, 34 engines, 21 water tenders, 2 bulldozers, and 6 helicopters. Total personnel - 731


36 PIT FIRE: Clackamas County, near Estacada. Fire is on the Mt. Hood National Forest. Cause under investigation. A type II IMT is command. 3588 acres, zero percent contained. Fire is burning in grass, brush, and timber. Active fire behavior with group torching. There is critical information on the fire to be found at http://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/article/4106/24447/. A Fire Area Closure was issued which includes roads, trails, and recreation sites along Highway 224. Highway 224 remains closed to non-emergency traffic at MP 32-36. Additional road closures are still in effect for FS Roads 46 and 45. Debris from the hillside has blocked the road for a 3 mile stretch. The fire was human caused and is under investigation. The public is reminded to please be careful with any possible ignition source at this time. The Lazy Bend Campground remains closed as well as other recreation sites along Highway 224. No additional evacuations have been ordered. For information about evacuations go to the Clackamas County website (http://www.clackamas.us). The Silver Fox RV Park remains closed. The Red Cross has established an evacuation center at the 1st Baptist Church of Estacada.The electrical power is out at Timber Lake Job Corps and Ripplebrook. A full mix of resources including 9 hand crews, 47 engines - 40 structural for structure protection, 14 water tenders, 1 bulldozer, and 3 helicopters are assigned to the fire. Total personnel - 346


CALIFORNIA - 


NEW FIRE................BOLES FIRE: Siskiyou County, at Weed. Cause under investigation, believed human caused. Fire is on private property and within city limits. A Cal Fire IMT Type I is in command. 375 acres, 20 percent contained. Fire is burning in grass, sage, juniper, and timber. Numerous structures threatened. City of Weed remains at high risk. 150 structures of various types destroyed or damaged last night. Yesterday firefighters aggressively attacked a wind driven wildfire that immediately threatened the City of Weed. Despite all efforts from local unit resources and resources sent from the nearby Happy Camp Complex, 150 structures including dozens of homes were lost. The fire blew right into town and went from house to house. The entire Angel Valley subdivision was lost.  Firefighters continue to build and improve containment lines around the fire today, but winds have been gusty again. Fortunately, they have managed to keep the fire in check. Damage assessment teams have been out through the fire area today looking to be sure they have a full accounting of structures lost, and to be certain there were no fatalities due to the fire. If you feel you have information regarding the Boles Fire, please contact 1-800-468-4408. A reward will be offered up to $10,000 leading to the cause of the fire. Resource commitment to the fire is 20 hand crews, 108 engines, 9 water tenders, 28 bulldozers, and 7 helicopters. Air tankers are available out of both Redding, and Medford. Total personnel - 1068


HAPPY CAMP COMPLEX - ONE FIRE NOW : Siskiyou County, near Happy Camp. Lightning caused. Burning on National Forest and private land. A California IMT I is in command. Joint attack between Cal Fire and US Forest Service. 113,158 acres, 60 percent contained. Numerous structures threatened including the city of Happy Camp. Fires are burning in timber. Fire behavior continues to be very active with group torching, crown runs, and long range spotting. Level III Go Now evacuations and road closures in effect. Strong winds tested fire lines yesterday, and are expected to do so again today. Despite the high winds, existing fire lines held with no spotting or expansion outside current containment lines. The south end of the fire continued backing slowly toward Elk Creek in the Marble Mountain Wilderness. The Man Fire joined with the Happy Camp Complex yesterday and will be managed by California Interagency Incident Management Team 4 as of 6:00 am on Wednesday, September 17, 2014.. Once again just too much information to briefly summarize here. For current information on the fire, road closure, and evacuation details, please click on the link....http://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/4078/. A total of six structures including two residences have now been lost to this fire. The homes burned along with 2 other structures last Wednesday. Resources from the Complex will assist the local units on new fire starts. They did assist on the Boles Fire at Weed. The cost of fighting the fire to date is over $78 million now. A full mix of resources including 28 hand crews, 43 engines, 20 water tenders, 15 bulldozers, and 10 helicopters. Air tankers will be used as conditions allow, and with availability. Total personnel - 1381


JULY COMPLEX...INCLUDES THE MAN FIRE. FINAL REPORT AS THE MAN FIRE IS NOW IN THE HAPPY CAMP COMPLEX: Siskiyou County, nearest Etna. Lightning caused. 50,042 acres, unknown percent containment as the Man Fire is the only active fire left. Fire is burning in timber. Man Fire - The fire is at 12,630 acres in size with 22 percent containment. Moderate fire behavior with spotting. This fire is going to be long duration as it is in rugged terrain and burning through abundant dried out fuels. The Man Fire is burning in the Marble Mountain Wilderness near Man Eaten Lake, about 14 miles northwest of Etna. This fire was caused by lightning on August 12. Last night the Man Fire grew into the main body of the Happy Camp Complex North of Elk Peak. This morning the July Complex acreage is 50,042 total for the three fires. The Happy Camp Complex will absorb the management of the Man Fire at 0600 Wednesday, Sept. 17, 2014. High wind, dry fuels, and steep and rugged terrain may bring the potential of moderate to active fire growth. The fire is expected to continue to spread west towards Spirit Lake, north towards Rainy Lake, and south toward the 2005 Wooley Fire. The fire remains active in the headwaters of Wooley Creek. Construction of fireline along the Pacific Crest Trail (PCT) continues toward Man Eaten Lake. On the east side, fire crews continue to be successful holding and strengthening the fireline along the PCT from Whiskey Camp on the west to Man Eaten Lake on the southeast. Crews will be falling hazard trees and suppressing the fire along the PCT corridor. Crews will continue the use of Minimum Impact Suppression Tactics — utilizing geographic features and natural barriers to reduce impacts to the wilderness values. Resources from the Complex will assist the local units on new fire starts. A resource mix of 3 hand crews, 2 engines, 3 water tenders, and 4 helicopters are working the Man Fire. Total personnel - 190










The support I have received from all of you is tremendous. It really is. The traffic both here on the website, and on social media is exceeding my every expectation. You people are awesome.

I am asking just one thing of you. One. VISIT the sponsors of Rogueweather. This is VERY easy to do. EVERY ad here on Rogueweather.com links to a website or a facebook page. Just click on those banner ads. Each day I feature sponsors here on the home page and on facebook. When you see them, click on the link to visit them. That is all you have to do. Easy, quick, simple. No real effort required. But it means a LOT later when I ask for their continued support of Rogueweather. It really does. They can then see for themselves how much you believe in Rogueweather. Obviously buying your goods and services from these wonderful people is great. And when you do that....PLEASE let them know you have seen them on Rogueweather.

Mother's Day, Graduation, Father's Day, and other major events are coming up. Many wedding anniversaries happen in the summer. You will find GREAT gifts and ideas for all of these upcoming special events by looking through the business directory / partner's page at Rogueweather.com. All of these businesses are committed to supporting the local community. Here is the link to get you to the business directory / partner's page.......http://rogueweather.com/index.php/partner-directory



Rogueweather.com is on KMED am 1440 Monday and Friday at 7:10 am. I will be doing outdoor recreation reports giving you a quick look at what is going on in Southern Oregon. These are brought to you by Waterworld Boat and Power Sports. For the latest in news from Southern Oregon and the world......click on the banner below and you will get updated by KMED on all that is going on. 





DRONE VIDEO BROUGHT TO YOU AS A PUBLIC SERVICE BY:



We are ready to be operational with the Phantom Drone aircraft provided by McMurray and Sons Roofing and Energy Management. We will change how you get immediate information from fires, floods, and other events that will impact your life in the region. This will give you much better information you will need to make decisions about evacuations or other measures to protect life and property.

The video you sill see below was shot during the thunderstorm that hit on Tuesday the 22nd of July. I was impressed by what I was seeing with the naked eye. I had NO idea what the camera was getting. What I saw was mind blowing! The video below is of one lightning strike sequence that happened over Jacksonville. Watch the difference between what your naked eye sees, and what our camera picks up. This is stunning stuff!


ALL video is property of Rogueweather.com and McMurray and Sons. NO unauthorized use without permission.

For clearance and permission, please contact Greg Roberts at 541 - 261 - 8620.


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We are working on breaking down an impressive strike sequence that shows a lightning strike from it's genesis stage to the completed strike. Now, you can see this strike in the sequence above. But, when we get finished doing the frame by frame editing you are not going to believe what the camera picked up! I am thrilled because I have never seen a lightning strike sequence this well detailed before quite like this one.


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IN THE NEWS:

The Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife has made a major change to the season and limits for Mourning Doves. Years of study and tracking have shown that not only is Oregon's populations of doves very stable...it is increasing. With that data in hand, Oregon's Mourning Dove season began as it traditionally does on Monday September 1st, but it will now run through October 30th adding a month to the season. Bag limits increase to 15 daily, and 45 in possession. The harvest patterns are not likely to change. The biggest majority of doves taken are shot on opening day of the season. That is expected to remain the same. But, by extending the season it is thought that it will result in more opportunities for hunters and more doves harvested. The population can stand it. The studies also revealed that the Eurasian Collared Dove is expanding rapidly in numbers west of the Cascades as well. The Eurasian Collared Dove is bigger than the Mourning Dove. It is found in similar areas. As an invasive species officially, there is no season or bag limits on these doves. You are allowed to hunt them every day of the year. You only need a valid hunting license.


Mt. Ashland has seen many changes in the past few months. Kim Clark was let go as general manager, (He has since been hired by the Bluewood Ski Area in Washington State), and a new Executive Director / Manager of Operations has been hired in the person of Hiram Towie previously of Sunday River, Maine. 

But, it was a decision by the board of the Mt. Ashland Association that really got skiers and riders cheering when it was announced that after years, the Student Season Pass for those attending Southern Oregon University is coming back. The Student Pass will be $299, and is available now. The move to restore it will only generate good will for the mountain. I join those applauding the decision to bring this pass back because it never should have gone away in the first place. Well done MAA Board.



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Danielle West

Buyer Specialist

Keller Williams Realty

Medford, Ore.

541 - 951 - 4224

http://app.kw.com/KW2F2TART

Danielle West is a buyer specialist and part of the Headley Dixon team at Keller Williams Realty here in Medford. As a buyer specialist Danielle gets to use her expertise and really know what is available on the market right now. She can find the perfect home or property for anyone or any budget. She can generate lists of available listings for you to preview to concentrate on just what you are wanting. Locations in cities or in the country, Danielle will find them. Being a part of the Headley Dixon team at Keller Williams means Danielle can offer you a level of service beyond what you might expect. You get the resources of a team not just one person. Danielle is a native of the valley and enjoys helping people and seeing the smiles when their dream comes true. In fact, she loves that. She and her husband and kids enjoy going to Britt, and performances at the Craterian. They also love taking time to relax in the great outdoors. If you want to have an experience where you are more than just a client, Danielle is the one to call.


Little Shop of Bagels

1644 Ashland Street (In the Shopping Center behind Wendy's near SOU)

Ashland, Oregon.

97520

541 - 488 - 0718

https://www.facebook.com/littleshopbagels

The reviews are in.....and people are RAVING about Little Shop of Bagels in Ashland! Just check out Yelp, or any other source for reviews. 5 stars across the board for them. And it is no wonder. The owner Francesca and her staff do everything with love. They take pride in using the best ingredients, and their bagels have ALWAYS been made with organic flour. The Little Shop of Bagels offers breakfast, brunch, or lunch in a casual, art filled cafe with plenty of seating for one or a group.

They have many varieties of bagels for you to chose from. Click on the link to see them all. But here is a sample...try a delicious Jalapeno Cheddar with Sundried Tomato Cream Cheese perhaps? Chocolate Chip Bagel with Marionberry? Go crazy! Don't worry, they have plain bagels and plain cream cheese too. They serve delicious Organic Has- Beans Coffee, use Certified humane cage-free eggs for the breakfast "Eggel Bagel" sandwich, and wild, line- caught Alaskan Salmon in the Lox sandwiches. Their cream cheese is RBST-Free, as well as the cream for your coffee. As you can see, not just good...good for you and the planet! Stop in and see Franesca and her staff. They are devoted Rogueweather followers and look forward to meeting all of you.


Mt. Ashland Ski Area

693 Washington Street

Ashland, Oregon

97520

541 - 482 - 2897

http://www.mtashland.com/

Southern Oregon's home ski area. It has something for everybody up there....but the higher end terrain is something that you just have to experience. This is one of the more challenging mountains to ski or ride on in the Northwest. It has been said if you can ski Mt. Ashland, you can ski anywhere. This is a big reason they are working to make the novice runs off the Sonnet chair less of a challenge for those just learning to ski and ride. Mt. Ashland typically is open in early December and the season will run through April. There is night skiing too from January through March. Mt. Ashland has a full rental shop if you need any kind of gear, and certified instructors are on hand to help you become the skier or boarder you truly want to be. A very family friendly ski area, Mt. Ashland has a compact layout of just four chairs and one base lodge. It does make it much easier to keep track of everybody. Mt. Ashland is home to one of the largest after school ski programs in the state. Thousands of school kids come up to Mt. Ashland on Thursdays to learn how to ski and snowboard. This program has become the second largest youth sports activity in Southern Oregon trailing only soccer in numbers participating.



ABOUT ROGUEWEATHER.COM

RogueWeather.com is based in Medford, Oregon. The founder, Greg Roberts is the forecaster. Greg has nearly 30 years of weather forecasting experience, specializing in severe weather events. Greg has received training from a variety of sources, including the University of Oklahoma. 

Greg volunteers as a Skywarn weather observer for the National Weather Service. This has lead to many hours out in the field storm chasing and getting up close with the storms he loves. 

Greg also served as a wildland and municipal fire fighter and EMT. While a fire fighter he earned many certifications including Engine Company Officer and Incident Commander for wildland fires. His weather knowledge was useful on wildland fires he worked in Oregon and Northern California. Greg still consults with various fire departments, and also for private wildland fire fighting companies on fire related matters.


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