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Today's forecast 7/21/2014 - brought to you by Valley Immediate Care 

Mostly cloudy and cooler with a chance for showers and thunderstorms. The storms will be most likely over Northern California, the Cascades, and east of the Cascades. Showers and storms could produce heavy rain. The strongest storms may produce large hail. Storms may also produce gusty winds. Highs today will be in the upper 80s for the valleys, and in the 70s and 80s for the mountains and east of the Cascades. Overnight lows will be in the mid 60s for the valleys, and in the 50s for the mountains and east of the Cascades.


RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH 11 PM TONIGHT FOR SISKIYOU, AND MODOC COUNTIES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, AND KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN OREGON. AND, FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM TUESDAY FOR SISKIYOU, AND MODOC COUNTIES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST JOSEPHINE COUNTY, EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY, AND FOR ALL OF JACKSON,  KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN OREGON.

The National Weather Service Office in Medford has issued a fire weather watch for the advisory area due to the expected development of thunderstorms with frequent lightning striking critically dry fuels. While the storms are expected to be rain producers, early on they could be high based dry cells. As the storms become wetter, lightning hitting on the edges of the storms could pose a risky for fire starts if the rain cores of the storms misses the area where the lightning strike occurred. Lightning activity is expected to be frequent with the storms that do form.


Valley Immediate Care is the proud presenter of Rogueweather.com. Click on the link to visit them.

Need the forecast for the next week? Get it here on the Line X of Southern Oregon Weekly forecast page!


There was a fire in the field that the airport owns off Corona Avenue in North Medford recently. See what is happening to prevent that from happening again, and to help people who suffered losses in the fire. Scroll down below for the story.


WEATHER SUMMARY DISCUSSION:

We are looking at a pattern shift today that is likely to produce rainfall for many parts of our region, but is also likely to produce lightning as well. We are caught between two systems. We have a low moving into Canada to our north, and a low is working it's way northeast off the coast of Southern California. We happen to be caught in the flow off both systems and this is producing what is known as a deformation zone directly over us. This is feeding moisture in along with cooler temperatures. Shortwaves embedded in the flow will provide the triggers to fire off showers and storms over the next 2 days. The good news is the cooling, higher humidity levels, and the rain that will result from the showers and storms. The bad news is the lightning. Red Flag Warnings are up for Siskiyou, Modoc, Klamath, and Lake Counties for today as storms are expected to develop with frequent lightning. The storms could be dry initially, but we do expect them to moisten up and become rain producers. Look for gusty winds to be possible near any storms. The strongest storms that form could produce large hail as well approaching golf ball size. Mot expecting that to be widespread, but an isolated storm or two may reach the point to produce hail of that size.

While I cannot rule storms out for today in the Valleys of Southwest Oregon, just don't see them as being as likely as they will be tomorrow. We will have a much stronger shortwave come through the area at max convective point and this is likely to generate thunderstorm activity for areas west of the Cascades. A fire weather watch has been posted for tomorrow for Eastern Douglas County, and Jackson County as a result. Looks like lightning activity will be frequent again tomorrow with any storms that form. Yes, the storms look to be rain producers and they will have gusty winds. Some of them may produce hail as well, but it is not looking as likely for the large hail as today is.

The storms will clear out of the area on Wednesday and we will make a transition back to having a ridge building over us. As that process occurs, look for gusty conditions for the mountains and east of the Cascades on Wednesday and Thursday. That will not be good news for fire fighting efforts. As we reach Friday the ridge will have finished building back in and we will get back into hot temperatures. Look for upper 90s on Friday followed by low 100s for the valleys this weekend.



FIRE INFORMATION BROUGHT TO YOU BY:


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DUE TO THE SHEER NUMBER OF FIRES BURNING RIGHT NOW, ALL FIRES WILL BE COVERED WITH QUICK SYNOPSIS


OREGON - 

BUZZARD COMPLEX: Harney County near Crane. Lightning caused. Interagency command of the complex. East Division commanded by a national Type I IMT. West Division commanded by an Oregon interagency Type II IMT. The complex has burned 395,747 acres in total. The complex consists of 6 major fires. The Buzzard Fire, the Beaver Creek Fire, the Twin Reservoir Fire, the Saddle Draw Fire, the Lamb Ranch Fire, and the Bartlett Fire. Percent of containment for the complex is 75 percent. Most of the fires are burning in grass, sage, and juniper flats. Minimal fire behavior with creeping and isolated single tree torching. EXCELLENT progress was made on the complex beginning on Friday night and that has continued through yesterday as favorable conditions have given fire fighters the break they were looking for. Because of the size of the complex and with over 380 miles of fireline to maintain, they split the complex into two divisions. An East and a West. This was done for fire fighter safety first and foremost. The East Division is based at the school in Juntura, and the West Division is based at the school in Crane. The complex still poses risks to structures in the area, and to Highway 78. They are going to attack it aggressively today as it looks like they are going to see the favorable conditions continue. Full resource mix of hand crews, engines, water tenders, bulldozers, and helicopters along with fixed wing aircraft fighting the fire. Total personnel - 1,434

BAILEY BUTTE FIRE: Former Waterman Complex. Grant County, near Mitchell. Lightning caused. ODF has command of the fire. Type II IMT. 11,905 acres, 35 percent contained. The complex has become just one active fire now, the Bailey Butte Fire. All other fires in the complex have been contained. The Bailey Butte Fire had active fire behavior yesterday with group torching and long range spotting. Fire is burning in a mix of timber and grasslands. Structures are threatened. Road closures from the fire have included Highway 26. This complex continues to close State Highway 26 which is a critical highway for travel of goods from Central Oregon to the John Day area. An entire division of fire fighters along with tree fallers, engines, and air support have been dedicated to getting Highway 26 open and keeping it open. They hope to open Highway 26 beginning tomorrow. Full resource mix of hand crews, engines, water tenders, bulldozers, helicopters, and air tankers fighting the fire. Total personnel - 858

PINE CREEK COMPLEX: Wheeler County, near Fossil. Lightning caused. BLM has command of the fire. A national Type II IMT utilized. 100,441 acres, 35 percent contained. This complex of fires consists of the Pine Creek Fire, Jack Knife Fire, Black Rock Fire, and now the Donnybrook Fire. Active fire behavior yesterday with uphill runs, and torching. The fire is burning in grasslands and timber. Structures are threatened with level II evacuations in effect on the Pine Creek Fire. Good news came with the full containment of the Jack Knife Fire in the complex yesterday. That removes the threat to Highway 97 from that fire. Full resource mix of hand crews, engines, water tenders, bulldozers, helicopters, and air tankers fighting the fires in the complex. Fire crews from the Rogue Valley have been assigned to this complex. Total personnel - 966

BRIDGE 99 COMPLEX: Deschutes County, near Camp Sherman. Lightning caused. Oregon interagency team has command with Applegate Fire District Chief Brett Fillis as IC. 5310 acres in size, zero percent containment. This is a complex of the southern half of the Bear Butte 2 fire, and the entirety of the Bridge 99 Fire. The complex had moderate behavior yesterday with occasional single tree torching. The fire is burning in timber. Numerous structures are threatened and evacuations and road closures are in place on the Bridge 99 Fire. Critical endangered fish habitat is also at high risk. Better weather conditions aided fire fighters greatly. Full resource mix of hand crews, engines, water tenders, bulldozers, helicopters, and air tankers fighting the fires in the complex. Total personnel - 731

BIGHAM COMPLEX: Willamette National Forest east of Eugene and Salem in the high Cascades. Lightning caused. US Forest Service has command of the fire. Type II IMT. The Siskiyou Rappellers Helitack Crew out of Merlin has team members on the complex. 452 acres total. The complex saw minimal behavior yesterday with creeping and isolated single tree torching. Complex is burning in timber, including old growth stands. Complex is also burning in rugged wilderness. The remoteness of some parts of the fire will slow containment efforts. The bulk of the effort is being concentrated on the Bingham Ridge Fire in the complex. The Lizard Fire is well within the Mt. Jefferson Wilderness and they are adopting a let it burn strategy as the fire has become very low intensity and is on the forest floor. In short, at this point it is a very beneficial fire and will be managed to accomplish positive objectives. The fire camp for the complex is at the Hoodoo Ski Area. Mix of resources includes hand crews, helitack crews, one engine, one bulldozer, and helicopters. Total personnel - 411

SHANIKO BUTTE FIRE: Warm Springs Reservation in Central Oregon. Lightning caused. The Bureau of Indian Affairs has command of the fire. A type II IMT is being utilized. 42,000 acres, 50 percent contained. Moderate fire behavior yesterday with short surface runs, and single tree torching. Fire is burning in grass, sage, and juniper. Numerous structures and cultural sites are threatened. Evacuations and road closures have been put in effect. The fire is burning in rugged terrain in rough canyonlands making containment efforts difficult. Fire fighters had very favorable conditions yesterday. Burnouts were conducted which helped create buffers around threatened structures and roadways. The burnouts were successful in achieving objectives. The Deschutes River is open again in the fire area. Be aware of fire fighting activities like helicopters filling out of the river. Estimated full containment date is the 26th. Full resource mix of hand crews, engines, water tenders, bulldozers, and helicopters fighting the fire. Air tankers are available if needed. Total personnel - 622

SUNFLOWER FIRE: Umatilla National Forest nearest to Monument. The Forest Service has command of this fire. A type II IMT is being utilized. 5900 acres in size, 35 percent contained. Structures are threatened. Active fire behavior yesterday with group torching, running, and long range spotting. Fire is burning in timber. Evacuations are now in effect for this fire. Crews pounded the spot fire that ignited on Saturday night and did get it lined and controlled removing that threat, but the fire did make a break to the east burning through a rough area of steep creek canyons. Full resource mix of hand crews, engines, water tenders, bulldozers, helicopters, and air tankers fighting the fire. Total personnel - 525.

LOGGING UNIT COMPLEX: Warm Springs Reservation in Central Oregon. Lightning caused. The complex is under command of an Interagency Type I IMT. 9500 acres, 5 percent contained. The complex is burning in timber. Moderate fire behavior seen yesterday across the complex with torching and short range spotting. The Bear Butte 2 Fire is the largest fire in the complex, but it is the Camas Prairie Fire that has been showing the most activity. Additional resources have been arriving which is going to help the situation here greatly. Weather forecasts over the next 48 hours are very favorable with increased humidity, lower temps, and the possibility of precipitation. Resource mix of hand crews, engines, water tenders, bulldozers, and helicopters fighting the fire. Total personnel - 503

OCHOCO COMPLEX: Crook County, near Post. Lightning caused. A national type II IMT has command of the complex. 2596 acres, at zero percent containment for the complex. Active fire behavior was seen with running and spotting. There are 4 fires in the complex. The previously reported Oscar Canyon Fire in the complex merged with the Fox Fire which is the biggest fire in the complex at over 2000 acres. The Fox Fire is the most active fire and the one with the least amount of containment. Another near by fire the Center Fire is likely to be added to the complex today, and if it is, the acreage number will increase as percent of containment will decrease. Full resource mix of hand crews, engines, water tenders, bulldozers, helicopters, and air tankers fighting the fires of the complex. Total personnel - 191

CENTER FIRE: Previously reported as the O297 PR Fire. Crook County, near Post. Lightning caused. BLM has command of the fire. 2800 acres, 29 percent contained. Fire is burning in grass, brush and scattered stands of timber. Minimal fire behavior yesterday with creeping and isolated interior torching. The Center Fire is likely to be shifted into the Ochoco Complex today. Resource mix of hand crews, and engines fighting the fire. Total personnel - 34.

NEW FIRE........WARD CANYON FIRE: Sherman County, near Antelope. Lightning caused. Local fire chief in command of the fire. 15,000 acres, no containment given. Fire is burning in grasslands with brush and junipers. This fire has been burning for over a week now. It is expected that ODF will take command of this fire soon, but for now it is still being managed and fought by local fire departments in Sherman County. The big tactic here to fight the fire is going to be burnouts. Resource mix on the fire is engines and water tenders. No word on number of personnel.



NORTHERN CALIFORNIA -  


BULLY FIRE: The Bully Fire is burning southwest of Redding. The cause of the fire was a truck driven into tall dead grass. The grass hit the exhaust system of the truck and caused the fire. The individual responsible for that has been arrested and charged. A type 1 IMT from Cal Fire has command of the fire. 12,661 acres, 81 percent contained. Fire is burning grass and brush savannahs and timber. Minimal fire behavior again yesterday with occasional single tree torching. Fire fighters have enjoyed 72 hours of favorable conditions on this fire and are making excellent progress. Mop up is proceeding on all sections of the fire, and resources are being released. All critical initial response resources like air tankers and hot shot crews have been released. A civilian fatality was confirmed. This was a person who could not get out of the way fast enough. 20 structures, including at least 1 home have been lost to the fire so far. Many homes and structures remain at risk. Estimated containment date is the 23rd. Full resource mix of hand crews, engines, water tenders, bulldozers, and helicopters fighting the fire. Total personnel - 1670. 








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I am asking just one thing of you. One. VISIT the sponsors of Rogueweather. This is VERY easy to do. EVERY ad here on Rogueweather.com links to a website or a facebook page. Just click on those banner ads. Each day I feature sponsors here on the home page and on facebook. When you see them, click on the link to visit them. That is all you have to do. Easy, quick, simple. No real effort required. But it means a LOT later when I ask for their continued support of Rogueweather. It really does. They can then see for themselves how much you believe in Rogueweather. Obviously buying your goods and services from these wonderful people is great. And when you do that....PLEASE let them know you have seen them on Rogueweather.

Mother's Day, Graduation, Father's Day, and other major events are coming up. Many wedding anniversaries happen in the summer. You will find GREAT gifts and ideas for all of these upcoming special events by looking through the business directory / partner's page at Rogueweather.com. All of these businesses are committed to supporting the local community. Here is the link to get you to the business directory / partner's page.......http://rogueweather.com/index.php/partner-directory



Rogueweather.com is on KMED am 1440 Monday and Friday at 7:10 am. I will be doing outdoor recreation reports giving you a quick look at what is going on in Southern Oregon. These are brought to you by Waterworld Boat and Power Sports. For the latest in news from Southern Oregon and the world......click on the banner below and you will get updated by KMED on all that is going on. 





For road conditions, check out the Bob Thomas Automotive Road Condition page. 


The Valley Immediate Care Ski report page will give you information and links to ski areas in Oregon and California. We also will give you information on Whistler Blackcomb up in British Columbia.


Our Home and Garden page will be full of information that you can use. Get tips and ideas for home improvement, landscaping, and gardening. 


Get GREAT off road power sports action on the Off Road Recreation page.


On the Waterworld Boat and Power Sports fishing page I give the latest information for fishing in Southern Oregon. I cover it all from the lakes, to the rivers, to the ocean.


The Camping page is a great resource. You will find information on where to camp, plus forecasts. Be sure to check it out.


The Golf page will give you information every golfer can use.


The Southern Oregon Fine Meats hunting page is full of information for hunters.


Archery hunters, check out our Archery page. You will find information including how to do its, and hunting videos, plus a photo gallery. I think you will like what you find there.


Love motocycles? Dirt, street, performance, customs......if it is a motorcycle we have information for you on the Motorcycling page. This is brought you by Hansens' Motocycles.



IN THE NEWS:

As you may know, there was a fire in the field that the airport owns off Corona Avenue in North Medford last Thursday evening. A combine was working harvesting barley when it suffered a mechanical malfunction and a fire resulted. Nearly three acres of barley, the combine, a fence at a home on Steelhead Run Drive, and kids plastic play toys were lost to the fire.

Here is the follow up on this:

The field is owned by the airport, but leased by a private party. The party who has leased the field is responsible for anything that happens there, especially anything happening as a result of agricultural activity which this most certainly was. The leasee pays the Airport for use of the land.

What is out there is barley. Barley is a highly valued grain crop. The Airport does not receive any of the revenue for the sale of the barley grown there. All revenue goes to the leasee.

They are going to get another combine out there and finish harvesting the barley. However, the harvest will only take place in the mornings. No more harvest in the afternoon and evening during the highest fire danger periods of the day. In the future, safety measures such as having a 50 foot set back zone near the homes, and fire breaks through the center of the field will be instituted. Being that this is in a city with homes at direct risk from fires in the field, those are prudent steps. The set back zones will not be cultivated and likely will be tilled dirt. I made the suggestion to Mr. Case that the leasee also have a water truck, or a pick up with a slip in fire pack to take care of fires if they do happen. He appreciated that suggestion and it will likely be a condition of lease moving forward.

As for the homeowners who did suffer losses from the fire in the form of a burned up fence, melted plastic kids toys and other losses, they will all be covered for the losses. Mr. Case told me that the County is working with the homeowners to get a full accounting of the total dollar loss and will be working with them to get full compensation, and in the case of the fence assisting in rebuilding it.

I know a lot of people were very angry about what happened based on the erroneous, (and still not corrected), information about this fire that other media outlets have given out. Only Rogueweather corrected the story so that the circumstances of what happened were correct. And, only Rogueweather has done any follow up on the story to let you know what is happening going forward.


FEATURED SPONSORS:


Wild Rivers Pilates and Fitness.

29286 Ellensburg Ave

Gold Beach, Ore

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541 - 425 - 5161

https://www.facebook.com/WRPilates

While enjoying the great outdoors, reward your wife. husband, friends and guests with something new, Pilates in Gold Beach! Pilates is a body conditioning routine that can help build flexibility, muscle strength, and endurance. It puts emphasis on spinal and pelvic alignment, breathing, and developing a strong core or center, and improving coordination and balance. Wild Rivers Pilates and Fitness formally Santa Barbara Pilates Studio has relocated to the Southern Oregon Coast bringing 15 + years of experience working with clients of all ages and sizes and rehabilitating clients after back. knee and shoulder injuries. They can help you maintain your own personal fitness goals whether that is keeping you on track with your current activities or helping you work through a recent injury. While visiting the South Coast in the Gold Beach area.....give them a call and book a session and see what they can help you accomplish. Tell them Rogueweather sent you.


Judy's Flowers and Gifts

3 locations

Grants Pass, Central Point, and Ashland, Oregon

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I have used Judy's for my floral needs for years. They always deliver quality and their prices are very affordable. They are an FTD Florist and can handle your needs to have flowers sent literally anywhere in the world. They do deliveries to any location in Jackson and Josephine Counties. Their choices of flowers and plants are amazing. The quality of them is the very best. I am amazed at how long their flower bouquets last. They truly are remarkable. In addition to flowers and plants, Judy's also has gift baskets available and you will find something for anyone there. These are wonderful people to work with and they will be a business you will turn to again and again to take care of your florist needs. Be sure to "like" their facebook page to get in on contests to win bouquets and other goodies, and to also see special offers for their facebook friends.


White's Country Farm

3939 West Main Street (at the corner of Arnold Lane near Jacksonville)

Medford, Oregon

97501

541 - 773 - 8031

https://www.facebook.com/pages/Whites-Country-Farm/345975411834

The owners of White's, Mark and Linda, took it over in April, 2006. White's first produce stand dates back to the 1970's, and the White family is pleased that the tradition continues with Mark and Linda who are the perfect fit to keep White's good reputation and operation running successfully. White's is always the best place to find locally raised fruits and vegetables. Linda was born and raised in England and enjoys surrounding herself with a taste of home. At White's, you'll find a large selection of her handpicked favorite imported English goods which are always popular. She also turns out wonderful baked goods that you just have to try. She specializes in traditional English country comfort food that is second to none. Her chicken pot pies are fabulous! White's Country Farm's emphasis is on providing customers with top quality fruit along with superior customer service. Offering organic, fresh, local merchandise is Mark and Linda's top priority. "We work hard to ensure that our products are of the highest quality at all times," says Mark. Make sure you give them a try if you want the best and freshest fruit and vegetables with the emphasis on locally raised.


ABOUT ROGUEWEATHER.COM

RogueWeather.com is based in Medford, Oregon. The founder, Greg Roberts is the forecaster. Greg has nearly 30 years of weather forecasting experience, specializing in severe weather events. Greg has received training from a variety of sources, including the University of Oklahoma. 

Greg volunteers as a Skywarn weather observer for the National Weather Service. This has lead to many hours out in the field storm chasing and getting up close with the storms he loves. 

Greg also served as a wildland and municipal fire fighter and EMT. While a fire fighter he earned many certifications including Engine Company Officer and Incident Commander for wildland fires. His weather knowledge was proven to be useful on major wildland fires in Southern Oregon and Northern California. Greg still consults with various fire departments and agencies and also for private wildland fire fighting companies.


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