FORECAST FOR 7/2/2015
Mostly sunny and very hot. A slight chance for an afternoon and evening thunderstorm in Northern California and east of the Cascades. Highs will be 106 - 110 for the valleys, with 90s to near 100 in the mountains and east of the Cascades. Overnight lows will be in the mid 70s for the valleys, and in the 60s for the mountains and east of the Cascades.
HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM SATURDAY FOR DOUGLAS COUNTY EXCEPT THE COASTAL AREAS, EASTERN COOS COUNTY, CENTRAL AND EASTERN CURRY COUNTY, AND ALL OF JACKSON, JOSEPHINE, KLAMATH, AND LAKE COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN OREGON, AND FOR ALL OF SISKIYOU AND MODOC COUNTIES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.
Temperatures will be 105 - 110 for the inland valleys of Southwest Oregon and Northern California from today through Friday. In the Klamath River Valley of Northern California, highs could reach 112 in this time period. For the mountains and east of the Cascades, expect 90s to low 100s. Saturday will see highs of 102 - 106 for the valleys, with 90s for the mountains and east of the Cascades. The coastal areas will once again be the only place offering real relief from this heat. With all the outdoor activities planned for the 4th of July, use extreme caution!
Use your hot weather precautions. Drink plenty of water. Avoid sugary sodas, caffeinated beverages, and alcoholic beverages. Wear loose, light colored clothing. Avoid prolonged exposure to the sun between Noon and 7 pm. Tough to do at parades and other 4th of July activities. Seek shade where possible. Avoid strenuous outdoor activities. Use personal fans or misters. Keep an eye on children and the elderly. Never leave kids or pets in cars in heat like this. Lethal conditions for them in vehicles can develop in just minutes. Much faster than you think. If your home does not have air conditioning, use fans with containers of ice in front of them. Soak towels or clothing in ice water. Strain the water out and wear the damp cool items. Take cold showers or baths. Always check on elderly neighbors. They are very prone to becoming victims of heat waves. Heat is a real killer.......treat it with great caution.
Rogueweather followers helped the National Weather Service in Medford document just the second tornado ever in Douglas County. See that story down below in the "In the News" section.
WEATHER SUMMARY DISCUSSION - Brought to you by: CRATER LAKE FORD
The heat goes on....but good news is in sight. There will be an end to the really unusual heat come next week. But first. We saw record highs across the area yesterday. Medford, Mt. Shasta City, Klamath Falls, and Alturas all set or tied records. Medford's 108 degrees tied the record set back in 1942, and was the hottest day we have seen since we recorded a temp of 109 on July 29th, 2009. If the trend the last couple of days holds, then today will likely be pushing 110 in Medford. For the last three days the high temp for the date in Medford has been 2 - 3 degrees hotter than forecast. Yesterday was a great example. We were forecast for 106 in Medford and hit 108. This is also illustrative of why I tend to not forecast a specific number for highs and lows. There is going to be some variability. Today should be the last day of very hot conditions across the region. Friday will see our temperatures begin to gradually fall. It will be by 2 - 3 degrees per day, but by next Wednesday we will be back down to the low to mid 90s. Now that will still be above average for us.....but much more comfortable than the 107 - 110 degree temps we saw yesterday and will see again today. So now we know there is an end to the heat wave in sight.
The next concern to address is the thunderstorm potential. This morning that has changed too. We are going to be caught on the northern edge of a low that is triggering storms in California including some of the valley areas. With the set up we are going to see, the chance for storms is going to be mostly over Northern California. Here in Southern Oregon we could see isolated storms pop over the Cascades and east of them. But, this is not looking to become widespread activity over us at all in Southern Oregon. We could see storms become more widespread over Northern California as we move towards the weekend. If we are going to see any storms in the Rogue Valley, then the best chance for that looks to be Saturday night. This means we could have fireworks of the natural kind to augment the explosive kind.
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IN THE NEWS:
SECOND TORNADO EVER DOCUMENTED IN DOUGLAS COUNTY
I had multiple reports from eyewitnesses that a small tornado hit Glendale in southern Douglas County at 12:55 pm on April 13th. I even got photos of damage to a home there. I believed at that time that likely what had hit was a landspout. Landspouts are rotating vortexes, and many consider them tornadoes. I sent the eyewitness reports and the photos to NWS Medford for further analysis. NWS Medford did very detailed analysis of what I submitted, along with what happened at 12:55 PM on the radar and satellite images to see what they could determine.
I was informed by Ryan Sandler the Warning Coordinator for the National Weather Service here in Medford that the NWS is going to classify this event as a Gustnado. Gustnadoes are also rotating vortexes that can do damage. In this case equal to an EF 0 tornado. Now, because it is being classified as a tornadic event, it is going in the record book as a tornado, making it just the second tornado ever documented in Douglas County!
Much love to you Rogueweather Family! You people are just the best. Keep sending me your weather reports and photos. Who knows, in the future YOU may be the one who helps makes a significant historical report. Congratulations to Jennifer Miller, and to Debbie McBride Edington! Because of your reports and Debbie your photos, we were able to provide NWS with what they needed to determine what had happened here.
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RogueWeather.com is based in Medford, Oregon. The founder, Greg Roberts is the forecaster. Greg has nearly 30 years of weather forecasting experience, specializing in severe weather events. Greg has received training from a variety of sources, including the University of Oklahoma.
Greg volunteers as a Skywarn weather observer for the National Weather Service. This has lead to many hours out in the field storm chasing and getting up close with the storms he loves.
Greg also served as a wildland and municipal fire fighter and EMT. While a fire fighter he earned many certifications including Engine Company Officer and Incident Commander for wildland fires. His weather knowledge was useful on wildland fires he worked in Oregon and Northern California. Greg still consults with various fire departments, and also for private wildland fire fighting companies on fire related matters.
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