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Welcome to RogueWeather.com


Providing you with one stop, one click access to all seasonal fun! Sporting, Recreational, & Road Condition updates to keep your day headed in the right direction.

 

Scroll down to see today's forecast and any current weather warnings, advisories, or watches in effect. You will also find a weather summary which will tell you what is going on with our weather. Further down the page you will find a directory to other pages here at Rogueweather.com giving you information on road conditions, the weekly weather forecasts, and of course outdoor recreation of every kind. Lower down on the page you will see what is making news, and you can find links to show you real time radar and satellite images courtesy of the National Weather Service. 


Thank you for visiting Rogueweather.com. You are going to find a lot of useful information here and we hope you return frequently as the information on here is updated daily.




 




  

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Today is back to school day for so many of our local students. Please be extra careful around schools and in neighborhoods that kids will be passing through to get to school. Be watching out for school buses on the roads. Be sure to slow down and be ready to stop when those lights start flashing yellow. Police will be out in force in school zones and following along with buses so expect enhanced enforcement from them in school zones and with buses.


Today's forecast 9/2/2014 - brought to you by Valley Immediate Care 

Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke especially for Northern California and east of the Cascades. Expect breezy to windy conditions this afternoon for the Cascades and Siskiyou County in Northern California. This could result in increased activity for the 790 Fire in the Cascades, and for the fires in Siskiyou County. Highs will be near 90 for the valleys, with 80s for the mountains and east of the Cascades. Overnight lows will be in the mid 50s for the valleys and in the 40s to the low 50s for the mountains and east of the Cascades.


FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TODAY THROUGH 8 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE CASCADES OF SOUTHERN OREGON AND THE MOUNTAINS OF SISKIYOU COUNTY IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS INCLUDES THE 790 FIRE IN THE CASCADES AND THE HAPPY CAMP AND JULY COMPLEXES.

The National Weather Service Office in Medford, Oregon has issued a fire weather watch due to the possibility of gusty winds to 20 miles an hour and low humidity levels with poor overnight recoveries. For the established fires, these conditions could fuel rapid increases in fire behavior. Plume dominated behavior is possible, especially on the Frying Pan Faulkstein Fire in the Happy Camp Complex, and the Man Fire in the July Complex.

Expect the conditions to persist through Wednesday night.

This bulletin is for advisory purposes. There is a high likelihood that it will be replaced with a Red Flag Warning if the expected conditions do develop.


Valley Immediate Care is the proud presenter of Rogueweather.com. Click on the link to visit them.

Need the forecast for the next week? Get it here on the Line X of Southern Oregon Weekly forecast page!


Have news and notes from the outdoors world. A long standing bird hunting season has been changed in Oregon due to an abundance of them, and Mt. Ashland returns a very popular season pass option for the first time in YEARS. Scroll down below for the story.


WEATHER SUMMARY DISCUSSION:

So far the data is showing us that September is looking like it will be a continuation of what we have seen for July and August. Hot and dry is the going trend in the forecasts through the weekend. Today is looking to be a bit cooler than yesterday was and Wednesday will be cooler still. This is in response to the passage of a weak trough through the area. Besides lowering temperatures, this trough is going to create some windy conditions at the Coast, and then inland over the higher terrain. Those winds will be hitting both the 790 Fire and the fires in Siskiyou County this afternoon through Wednesday. We could be seeing the fires increase in activity as result. Seeing the big pyrocumulus clouds off the fires, especially the Happy Camp Complex Fires and the Man Fire in the July Complex would not be a surprise at all. A fire weather watch is up for those areas for this afternoon through Wednesday night for gusty winds and low humidity levels. I would expect that will be changed to a Red Flag Warning if those winds happen. 

The trough will pass to the east on Thursday, and it looks like it will trigger an offshore wind flow over at the Coast. Thursday and Friday are expected to be downright hot there. In similar situations in the past, Brookings has hit 100. Not sure if they will hit that this time, but 90 plus looks like a very safe bet for Thursday there. And this looks to be one of those times where the entire Coast sees warm to hot temperatures. This will not be just a localized event to the Brookings area as is so often the case. It will be hotter there, but readings in the 80s to near 90 can be expected all up and down the Coast of Oregon. Fire danger will increase for the Coastal Areas and the Western Slopes of the Coast Range with these conditions. The heat begins to diminish on Friday and by Sunday temps will be back to where they normally are in the 60s. 

For areas inland, we also see the return of heat on Thursday. Medford looks to hit 96 on Thursday, and then we go higher in to the upper 90s for Friday and Saturday. Temps drop to the low to mid 90s for Sunday. After that we are still waiting to see what the next incoming trough will do that is expected to arrive in the Northwest for early next week. This is the one that might even bring us a look at some rain early next week. It will be cooling us down. But, for how long? The data is looking more like this is going to be brief respite from the heat because the models are already pointing to us returning hot weather and highs in the 90s by the end of next week.



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MAJOR FIRE UPDATES

I will be reporting on major fires in the region that pose a significant threat, or have not reached the point where they are of minimal stable fire activity. I will not be reporting on fires that are considered to be well under control, or not likely to be a threat to grow any longer of any size.


OREGON - 


790 FIRE: Klamath County, in the Sky Lake Wilderness Area north of Mt. McLoughlin. Burning on the Rogue Siskiyou National Forest and Fremont - Winema National Forest. An Oregon IMT II led by Applegate Rural Fire District Fire Chief Brett Fillis has command of the fire. 2272 acres, 5 percent containment at last report. Fire is burning in timber. Minimal behavior with interior torching. The 790 Fire is the last remaining fire of the Camp Creek Complex that began on July 31st from lightning. The 790 Fire is located in the Sky Lakes Wilderness. The fire is located in an area difficult for crews to access safely. The terrain is rugged and rocky with much blow down debris and standing snags, which prevent firefighters from safely and actively engaging with the fire perimeter. For fire fighters reading this...M.I.S.T. protocols are being followed. Due to firefighter safety concerns, indirect methods have been utilized to fight the fire. Crews continue to hold in check the fire’s eastern flank. It is a high priority to limit the eastern spread of the fire. Additional firefighting resources are being added as full suppression remains the objective. A new base of operations (Incident Command Post) is being established at Buck Mountain Ranch located just east of Prospect, off of Prospect-Butte Falls Highway. Within the Sky Lakes Wilderness many of the trails are closed due to the 790 Fire. This closure is for both firefighter and public safety. The trail and area closure information is located at the following web address. http://www.fs.usda.gov/Internet/FSE_DOCUMENTS/stelprd3814603.pdf. The fire has a primary southern edge located one mile south of Big Ben Creek and east to Snow Lakes. The northern edge of the fire remains south of Finch Lake. Helicopters supported firefighters in the wilderness by dropping water on hotspots and supplying eight spike camps. Pack strings of mules were used to deliver supplies to firefighters in the wilderness area. Firefighters continued extending a hose network across the northern and southern flanks and building fireline directly against the fire’s edge. Helicopter rappel crews were added to the western flank and constructed a helicopter landing area to bring in additional crews and equipment. Firefighters strengthened lines on the east flank and “mopped up”—applying water to the burned area next to the fireline to extinguish all heat. Clearing of material continued on indirect contingency lines in roaded areas outside the Wilderness on the east and west sides.Firefighters will continue direct suppression and mop-up in the wilderness using natural fuel breaks such as rock outcrops and building fireline where possible. Indirect tactics will be used outside of the wilderness including continued clearing and prepping existing roads to be used as containment lines, should they be needed. Fire crews ask that trail users refrain from using these trails as it places themselves and firefighters safety at risk. The hand crews on this fire are being supported by a 10-mule pack string so that the helicopters can concentrate on fire suppression. Resource mix on the fire includes 280 wildland firefighters, 12 rappellers, and 24 smokejumpers, 9 helicopters. and 3 water dropping fixed wing aircraft. 

DECEPTION COMPLEX INCLUDES PREVIOUS REPORTED STALEY COMPLEX: Willamette National Forest. Lightning caused. A, Oregon Interagency IMT II has command. 2218 acres total, 55 percent contained. Fires are burning in timber. Fire behavior was minimal. Evacuation advisories are in effect and road closures are in place. There are a total of 92 currently active or contained and controlled fires making up this complex that spans the Willamette National Forest in the Cascades east of the Eugene and Salem areas. The fires in the complex all resulted from lightning activity between July 31st and August 10th. Fire activity really diminished with a change in the weather yesterday. Rain arrived over the fires along with cooler temps, and of course much higher humidity. This allowed crews to regain the momentum from the fire after three days of very active behavior. Evacuation levels were reduced to notifications and some roads were reopened. The structure protection that had been in place was sent home. Conditions today will continue to aid fire fighters as the cool weather and higher humidity levels remain over the firesResource mix assigned includes 22 hand crews, 39 engines, 12 water tenders, 4 bulldozers, and 10 helicopters. Total personnel - 980

LOST HUBCAP FIRE: Grant County near, Monument. Unknown cause. Burning on lands protected by ODF. An Oregon IMT II is in command of the fire. 2984 acres, 10 percent contained as of this morning per NIFC. Fire is burning in grass, brush, and timber. Active fire behavior yesterday in the morning with surface runs and spotting. Rains arrived over the fire in the afternoon and evening. This diminished activity greatly and crews were able to make direct attacks on the fire with excellent progress being reported. Fire behavior is minimal so far today. A source on the fire says they are up to about 30 percent containment now. A resource mix of 18 hand crews, 6 engines, 6 water tenders, 7 bulldozers, and 5 helicopters are assigned. Total personnel - 423.


CALIFORNIA - 


HAPPY CAMP COMPLEX - FRYING PAN FIRE AND FAULKSTEIN FIRE HAVE GROWN TOGETHER INTO ONE FIRE NOW : Siskiyou County, near Happy Camp. Lightning caused. Burning on National Forest and private land. A California IMT I is in command of all fires in the complex except the Frying Pan Fire. The Frying Pan Fire is being managed independently by a California type II IMT. Joint attack between Cal Fire and US Forest Service. 62,626 acres, 15 percent contained. Numerous structures threatened including the city of Happy Camp. Fires are burning in timber. Fire behavior continues to be very active with long range spotting and crown runs. Level III Go Now evacuations and road closures in effect. The Happy Camp Complex is now 62,626 acres and 15-percent contained. The Frying Pan and Faulkstein fires merged as of 8/29/2014. Acres noted are for the Happy Camp Complex total. Additional acres and growth will be shown under the Frying Pan Fire. Zone 2 (east side of fire): Yesterday's’s fire activity was significantly less in Zone 2 of the Happy Camp Complex. Fire behavior included a slow moving backing fire, which allowed firefighters more opportunity for direct line construction. Hose lays, brush clearing and removal of combustible materials was accomplished today in the community of Hamburg. More prepping and hose lays were completed along Scott River Road. Construction of dozer lines was implemented in the area directly to the southeast of the Seiad Valley. The night shift improved on the day shift’s work and continue to take advantage of this window. Warmer, dryer conditions are predicted with a return to weather typical to this area over the next few days. A public meeting is scheduled for the community of Fort Jones at 4 p.m. Aug. 31 at the City Hall Community Center, 11960 East St, Fort Jones. The Zone 2 incident command post (ICP) is located in Fort Jones. Zone 1 (west side of fire): Cloudy skies, lower temperatures and lighter westerly winds all helped to significantly decease fire activity in Zone 1 yesterday. Firefighters worked to strengthen existing fire lines and construct additional containment lines. They are also continuing to provide structure defense for properties at risk. All mandatory evacuation orders and advisories remain in place. The fire was active on south and west facing slopes, but much less active on north and east facing terrain. The winds are expected to shift to the north tomorrow, slowing fire spread on the north side, but increasing activity on the fire’s southern end. The Zone 1 ICP is located in Happy Camp. Resources from the Complex will assist the local units on new fire starts. A full mix of resources including 52 hand crews, 137 engines, 26 water tenders, 18 bulldozers, 19 helicopters, and 6 air tankers. Total personnel - 1972


JULY COMPLEX...INCLUDES THE ACTIVE WHITES, AND MAN FIRES: Siskiyou and Trinity Counties, nearest Sawyers Bar and Etna. Lightning caused. A national type I IMT has command. 40,070 acres, 92 percent containment on the complex all on the Whites Fire. Fires are burning in timber. Whites Fire - Last night fire activity remained quiet over the fire area, there will no longer be a night shift. Today, firefighters will continue to work the more difficult areas to access east of Yellow Dog Peak, west of Taylor Lake and north of Lower Russian Lake. Crews will continue with removal of hazard trees, rocks and rollout debris from areas adjacent to Sawyers Bar Road. Firefighters are working with Klamath National Forest resource advisors to identify and repair areas affected by firefighting activities. This includes chipping material produced during fire line construction as well as identifying needs to construct erosion control measures along fire lines throughout the fire area. The Man Fire is at 2764 acres in size with zero containment. This fire is going to be long duration as it is in rugged terrain and burning through abundant dried out fuels. The Man Fire is burning in the Marble Mountain Wilderness near Man Eaten Lake, about 14 miles northwest of Etna. This fire was caused by lightning on August 12. Along the southern edge, the fire is bumping against an old burn scar in Wooley Creek and vegetation is sparse. On the west side, the fire continues to back slowly into Big Elk drainage. On the north edge of the fire, firefighters were able pick up and line approximately 50 small spot fires that had established over the Pacific Crest Trail (PCT). On the eastern flank fire progress was held in check—aided by a decision the previous day to stage helicopters out of the smoke impacted base at Ft. Jones to an alternate site. This allowed helicopters to support fire suppression efforts on the Man Fire. Today, crews will re-engage where safe to anchor and flank the fire from PCT using air resources when visibility allows. Full suppression efforts include use of Minimum Impact Suppression Tactics—utilizing geographic features and natural barriers to reduce impacts on wilderness values. Resources from the Complex will assist the local units on new fire starts. A full resource mix of 14 hand crews, 29 engines, 23 water tenders, 7 bulldozers, and 12 helicopters. Total personnel - 796










The support I have received from all of you is tremendous. It really is. The traffic both here on the website, and on social media is exceeding my every expectation. You people are awesome.

I am asking just one thing of you. One. VISIT the sponsors of Rogueweather. This is VERY easy to do. EVERY ad here on Rogueweather.com links to a website or a facebook page. Just click on those banner ads. Each day I feature sponsors here on the home page and on facebook. When you see them, click on the link to visit them. That is all you have to do. Easy, quick, simple. No real effort required. But it means a LOT later when I ask for their continued support of Rogueweather. It really does. They can then see for themselves how much you believe in Rogueweather. Obviously buying your goods and services from these wonderful people is great. And when you do that....PLEASE let them know you have seen them on Rogueweather.

Mother's Day, Graduation, Father's Day, and other major events are coming up. Many wedding anniversaries happen in the summer. You will find GREAT gifts and ideas for all of these upcoming special events by looking through the business directory / partner's page at Rogueweather.com. All of these businesses are committed to supporting the local community. Here is the link to get you to the business directory / partner's page.......http://rogueweather.com/index.php/partner-directory



Rogueweather.com is on KMED am 1440 Monday and Friday at 7:10 am. I will be doing outdoor recreation reports giving you a quick look at what is going on in Southern Oregon. These are brought to you by Waterworld Boat and Power Sports. For the latest in news from Southern Oregon and the world......click on the banner below and you will get updated by KMED on all that is going on. 





DRONE VIDEO BROUGHT TO YOU AS A PUBLIC SERVICE BY:



We are ready to be operational with the Phantom Drone aircraft provided by McMurray and Sons Roofing and Energy Management. We will change how you get immediate information from fires, floods, and other events that will impact your life in the region. This will give you much better information you will need to make decisions about evacuations or other measures to protect life and property.

The video you sill see below was shot during the thunderstorm that hit on Tuesday the 22nd of July. I was impressed by what I was seeing with the naked eye. I had NO idea what the camera was getting. What I saw was mind blowing! The video below is of one lightning strike sequence that happened over Jacksonville. Watch the difference between what your naked eye sees, and what our camera picks up. This is stunning stuff!


ALL video is property of Rogueweather.com and McMurray and Sons. NO unauthorized use without permission.

For clearance and permission, please contact Greg Roberts at 541 - 261 - 8620.


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We are working on breaking down an impressive strike sequence that shows a lightning strike from it's genesis stage to the completed strike. Now, you can see this strike in the sequence above. But, when we get finished doing the frame by frame editing you are not going to believe what the camera picked up! I am thrilled because I have never seen a lightning strike sequence this well detailed before quite like this one.


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IN THE NEWS:

The Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife has made a major change to the season and limits for Mourning Doves. Years of study and tracking have shown that not only is Oregon's populations of doves very stable...it is increasing. With that data in hand, Oregon's Mourning Dove season will begin as it traditionally does on Monday September 1st, but it will now run through October 30th adding a month to the season. Bag limits increase to 15 daily, and 45 in possession. The harvest patterns are not likely to change. The biggest majority of doves taken are shot on opening day of the season. That is expected to remain the same. But, by extending the season it is thought that it will result in more opportunities for hunters and more doves harvested. The population can stand it. The studies also revealed that the Eurasian Collared Dove is expanding rapidly in numbers west of the Cascades as well. The Eurasian Collared Dove is bigger than the Mourning Dove. It is found in similar areas. As an invasive species officially, there is no season or bag limits on these doves. You are allowed to hunt them every day of the year. You only need a valid hunting license.


Mt. Ashland has seen many changes in the past few months. Kim Clark was let go as general manager, (He has since been hired by the Bluewood Ski Area in Washington State), and a new Executive Director / Manager of Operations has been hired in the person of Hiram Towie previously of Sunday River, Maine. 

But, it was a decision by the board of the Mt. Ashland Association that really got skiers and riders cheering when it was announced that after years, the Student Season Pass for those attending Southern Oregon University is coming back. The Student Pass will be $299, and will be available September 1st. The move to restore it will only generate good will for the mountain. I join those applauding the decision to bring this pass back because it never should have gone away in the first place. Well done MAA Board.



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A Great Look With Wigs by Beverley

624 Crater Lake Av

Medford, Oregon.

97504

541 - 890 - 3764

https://www.facebook.com/agreatlookwithwigs

Get ready for the end of bad hair days forever! Beverley Hidde opened up her wig salon A Great Look with Wigs by Beverley in Medford at the end of July. But prior to that, the salon and Beverley were part of Gaytane's Wig and Hair Salon. Gaytane Cleveland sold Beverley the wig salon and a new business was created. But, Beverley has years of experience helping people have a natural look when their hair just will not cooperate, or they have suffered hair loss due to heredity, or illness. She can tailor a wig just for you that looks just like your natural hair. In fact, some of the wigs she uses are made from natural hair. Beverley loves to work with those who have suffered hair loss from diseases like cancer. She has a private fitting area and fittings are carried out very discretely and privately. If you want to try a new look from mild to wild, Beverley will help you find just the look you want. Beverley is a wonderful person. I have really enjoyed getting to know her. I can tell you she comes from a place of deep compassion and caring. If you need a wig for any reason, I could not recommend anybody more.


Wild Rivers Pilates and Fitness.

29286 Ellensburg Ave

Gold Beach, Ore

97444

541 - 425 - 5161

https://www.facebook.com/WRPilates

While enjoying the great outdoors, reward your wife. husband, friends and guests with something new, Pilates in Gold Beach! Pilates is a body conditioning routine that can help build flexibility, muscle strength, and endurance. It puts emphasis on spinal and pelvic alignment, breathing, and developing a strong core or center, and improving coordination and balance. Wild Rivers Pilates and Fitness formally Santa Barbara Pilates Studio has relocated to the Southern Oregon Coast bringing 15 + years of experience working with clients of all ages and sizes and rehabilitating clients after back. knee and shoulder injuries. They can help you maintain your own personal fitness goals whether that is keeping you on track with your current activities or helping you work through a recent injury. While visiting the South Coast in the Gold Beach area.....give them a call and book a session and see what they can help you accomplish. Tell them Rogueweather sent you.


Judy's Flowers and Gifts

3 locations

Grants Pass, Central Point, and Ashland, Oregon

http://www.judysflowersandgifts.com/

I have used Judy's for my floral needs for years. They always deliver quality and their prices are very affordable. They are an FTD Florist and can handle your needs to have flowers sent literally anywhere in the world. They do deliveries to any location in Jackson and Josephine Counties. Their choices of flowers and plants are amazing. The quality of them is the very best. I am amazed at how long their flower bouquets last. They truly are remarkable. In addition to flowers and plants, Judy's also has gift baskets available and you will find something for anyone there. These are wonderful people to work with and they will be a business you will turn to again and again to take care of your florist needs.



ABOUT ROGUEWEATHER.COM

RogueWeather.com is based in Medford, Oregon. The founder, Greg Roberts is the forecaster. Greg has nearly 30 years of weather forecasting experience, specializing in severe weather events. Greg has received training from a variety of sources, including the University of Oklahoma. 

Greg volunteers as a Skywarn weather observer for the National Weather Service. This has lead to many hours out in the field storm chasing and getting up close with the storms he loves. 

Greg also served as a wildland and municipal fire fighter and EMT. While a fire fighter he earned many certifications including Engine Company Officer and Incident Commander for wildland fires. His weather knowledge was proven to be useful on major wildland fires in Southern Oregon and Northern California. Greg still consults with various fire departments and agencies and also for private wildland fire fighting companies.


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